xprofitguy

@xprofitguy

#2,815,20122

0x57776d1e2a14b32642a7b3afb7d87df7d43df1a7

~43d· 424 markets · 658 tradesVol: $71,7632026-08-04 23:19:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (191/412)8.2/20
0.87x (win $6,199 / loss $7,089)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6820/15
Sortino -3.5200/10
$-0.0531 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 49 (412 markets)10/10
16/40 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 2635% of peak ($1,009 / $38)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,793,743$-487Vol: $49,185

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-383
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,763
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
424
total markets
Trades
631B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$156
Vol: $616
Week
$96
Vol: $2,955
Month
$58
Vol: $4,111
All Time
$-383
Vol: $71,763

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
191W / 221L events
Realized PnL
$-383
Win Rate
46%
191W / 221L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $327 (0.8543362554790233% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$111
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$109
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5$107
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$101
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$99
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner$94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner$91
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5$90
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$89
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$86

Top Losers

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-212
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-134
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-130
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)$-126
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$-107
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-101
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-93
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5$-85
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-85
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$-80

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.203
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
8.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active8.2 markets/day — normal96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.57
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)58.8%
High (>55c)36.3%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 1:43:58 AM13 trades$66215 min
6/20/2026, 7:41:38 PM12 trades$47017 min
6/26/2026, 11:36:40 PM15 trades$46916 min
6/26/2026, 6:49:02 PM15 trades$39410 min
6/23/2026, 7:49:07 PM13 trades$3887 min
7/11/2026, 4:30:59 AM2 trades$3440 min
6/23/2026, 2:43:16 AM10 trades$30211 min
6/28/2026, 7:48:07 AM3 trades$2931 min
6/25/2026, 12:45:44 AM11 trades$28414 min
6/18/2026, 1:43:47 AM17 trades$28116 min
6/25/2026, 10:50:04 PM12 trades$2708 min
6/21/2026, 6:37:41 PM12 trades$26219 min
6/20/2026, 12:07:59 AM10 trades$2516 min
6/21/2026, 9:40:26 PM9 trades$24812 min
6/27/2026, 8:55:01 PM6 trades$2435 min
6/20/2026, 2:35:35 AM8 trades$23919 min
7/11/2026, 8:12:17 AM4 trades$2321 min
6/25/2026, 10:28:40 PM10 trades$23215 min
6/17/2026, 10:41:40 PM8 trades$21917 min
7/11/2026, 8:57:41 PM4 trades$2162 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-20
06-26
07-03
07-09
07-15
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.57/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L4.9 / M58.8 / H36.3