@chenfatd

#2,452,7860

0x57b10a4d282280ecdbb901ee600ae51a5f6091f1

~10d· 39 markets · 72 tradesVol: $2,4002026-08-04 20:06:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (7/34)0/20
0.34x (win $49 / loss $144)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.1310/15
Sortino -9.0100/10
$-0.6219 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2623 (34 markets)0/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 2765% of peak ($103 / $4)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#603,923$-26Vol: $1,392
🏛️ POLITICS#1,451,460$-44Vol: $605
⚽ SPORTS#1,474,944$-21Vol: $332
📈 ECONOMICS#29,465$20Vol: $69
🎭 CULTURE#144,658$1Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-71
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,400
Total Redeem
$8
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
46B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-71
Vol: $2,400

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
7W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-71
Win Rate
21%
7W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.5677090703268713% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$22
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$11
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$1
Trump approval Up or Down this week?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-40
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-20
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June?$-16
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$-11
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-10
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-6
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$-5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.503
Sortino
-0.459
HHI
2146
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.475
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.8%
Top-5 markets
86.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.1m
between trades
Night Trading
68%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)68% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.7%
Mid (20-55c)37%
High (>55c)17.4%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 1:36:41 AM12 trades$6719 min
3/26/2026, 1:43:33 PM11 trades$634 min
6/23/2026, 12:43:52 AM19 trades$6113 min
6/22/2026, 1:25:01 AM4 trades$250 min
7/1/2026, 2:30:25 PM4 trades$240 min
1/24/2026, 1:26:56 AM6 trades$177 min
6/30/2026, 1:53:02 AM2 trades$100 min
6/23/2026, 12:28:10 AM2 trades$60 min
6/22/2026, 10:42:28 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 9:05:23 AM1 trades$40 min
6/30/2026, 1:25:11 AM4 trades$44 min
3/11/2026, 6:58:57 AM1 trades$20 min
1/6/2026, 8:05:55 PM1 trades$20 min
2/3/2026, 6:40:12 AM1 trades$20 min
6/22/2026, 4:24:16 PM1 trades$20 min
3/11/2026, 6:31:49 AM1 trades$10 min
1/6/2026, 8:12:19 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
01-06
01-24
02-03
03-11
03-26
06-22
06-23
06-30
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 150 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.7 / M37 / H17.4