@papillon1

#3,036,30085

0x58398182da515f941364a1a3f826a07109742c33

~71d· 167 markets · 1533 tradesVol: $753,7392026-08-04 19:58:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (96/167)13.7/20
1.61x (win $177,961 / loss $110,847)10.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.18915/15
Sortino 10.73410/10
$+0.2799 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 667 (167 markets)9.2/10
39/67 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($16,725 / $83,839)10/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 9.5 entries/market
Whale
$239,805 invested
High Roller
$2,122/day
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,871,138$-4,102Vol: $753,739

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$753,739
Total Redeem
$1,063
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
167
total markets
Trades
285B / 1248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
96W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$-4,102
Win Rate
57%
96W / 71L
Profit Factor
1.61x
Avg Win
$1,854
Avg Loss
$-1,654

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78,333 (19.094811972708193% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$69,434
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5$4,554
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5$4,345
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$3,580
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5$3,497
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5$3,428
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Corners$3,164
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 0.5$3,088
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria$2,780
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?$2,395

Top Losers

Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5$-6,312
Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5$-6,000
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 1.5$-4,000
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5$-4,000
Real Madrid vs. La Laguna Tenerife$-3,200
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$-3,087
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi$-2,800
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5$-2,720
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$-2,600
Barcelona vs. CB Murcia$-2,600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.576
HHI
938
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.239
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.1%
Top-5 markets
40.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5765s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.5%
High (>55c)76.1%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 7:21:39 AM8 trades$12,3942 min
6/20/2026, 6:44:31 PM9 trades$12,3071 min
5/25/2026, 9:06:20 PM6 trades$11,9611 min
5/17/2026, 9:11:06 PM4 trades$11,7664 min
5/30/2026, 6:46:20 PM16 trades$11,2600 min
7/15/2026, 10:32:55 AM4 trades$6,5263 min
6/19/2026, 7:45:31 AM16 trades$6,1850 min
5/16/2026, 6:44:47 PM7 trades$5,6920 min
7/16/2026, 12:57:38 PM2 trades$5,2400 min
5/21/2026, 8:30:41 PM2 trades$5,2210 min
6/20/2026, 11:47:53 PM6 trades$5,1720 min
6/21/2026, 7:04:46 PM17 trades$5,1160 min
5/15/2026, 8:53:30 PM4 trades$5,0160 min
7/14/2026, 6:05:11 PM14 trades$4,6440 min
6/20/2026, 1:40:56 PM5 trades$4,5900 min
5/17/2026, 7:06:44 PM4 trades$4,5141 min
6/20/2026, 12:06:08 AM15 trades$4,4050 min
4/8/2026, 8:58:27 PM2 trades$4,2110 min
5/14/2026, 6:28:58 PM2 trades$3,9960 min
5/31/2026, 5:56:16 PM31 trades$3,8580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
05-08
05-19
06-05
06-17
07-09
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
81.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M23.5 / H76.1