@0x5853…144d

#86,38955

0x58530d7cc6e478add15330c3f72778a90180144d

~52d· 132 markets · 326 tradesVol: $93,0302026-08-05 16:39:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (37/122)0.2/20
1.51x (win $1,786 / loss $1,183)8.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.14615/15
Sortino 9.52310/10
$+0.2420 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2202 (122 markets)1.5/10
16/43 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($263 / $866)7.9/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+903
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#15,927$157Vol: $36,956
🏛️ POLITICS#1,535,386$-117Vol: $25,322
CRYPTO#33,615$832Vol: $11,144
💰 FINANCE#28,365$42Vol: $10,107
💻 TECH#232,345$-15Vol: $5,106
📈 ECONOMICS#609,134$-13Vol: $3,801
SPORTS#253,583$14Vol: $593

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$901
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,030
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
132
total markets
Trades
201B / 125S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $56
Week
$0
Vol: $383
Month
$-3
Vol: $758
All Time
$901
Vol: $93,030

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
37W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$903
Win Rate
30%
37W / 85L
Profit Factor
1.51x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $829 (0.9177713545300507% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$302
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$284
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$242
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$207
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 31?$98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$68
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$65
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$61
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$58
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$51

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-102
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-102
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$-72
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$-60
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $-55
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$-50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.163
Sortino
0.496
HHI
223
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.255
Kelly %
8.2%
Half-Kelly
4.1%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)81.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)3%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 8:41:13 PM6 trades$2,5791 min
7/31/2026, 12:42:56 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/31/2026, 2:01:06 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/10/2026, 3:19:37 PM5 trades$7303 min
7/31/2026, 12:55:32 AM5 trades$4600 min
4/25/2026, 1:24:48 PM12 trades$4351 min
2/5/2026, 8:18:43 PM1 trades$3840 min
8/1/2026, 3:21:33 PM6 trades$3750 min
7/27/2026, 1:52:03 PM2 trades$3330 min
7/29/2026, 11:12:11 PM2 trades$3330 min
4/9/2026, 12:48:43 PM10 trades$3191 min
1/31/2026, 6:02:16 PM1 trades$3120 min
7/29/2026, 3:11:38 PM8 trades$2831 min
1/31/2026, 10:20:36 PM1 trades$2620 min
7/31/2026, 10:49:23 PM2 trades$2500 min
8/3/2026, 8:54:09 PM2 trades$2500 min
2/3/2026, 8:05:06 PM4 trades$2233 min
7/22/2026, 11:33:36 AM4 trades$2030 min
2/6/2026, 10:53:51 AM1 trades$2000 min
7/28/2026, 5:38:05 PM2 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-07
02-16
03-01
03-24
04-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.6 / M15.4 / H3