@tiestobob

#97,40374

0x59333f44ce96ce9fe336ad432e48409a0ebfecb7

~15d· 125 markets · 562 tradesVol: $58,0482026-08-04 23:02:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (41/125)1.4/20
1.80x (win $17,274 / loss $9,592)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.46215/15
Sortino 23.43610/10
$+0.3898 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 286 (125 markets)10/10
8/15 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($1,876 / $7,784)9.2/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+715
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 24%

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#46,830$715Vol: $58,048

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$715
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$58,048
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
223B / 339S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
41W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$715
Win Rate
33%
41W / 84L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$421
Avg Loss
$-133

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,407 (13.164665547159249% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$7,219
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$1,222
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$967
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$964
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$608
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$579
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score$434
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5$397
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$393
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Neither team to score first?$332

Top Losers

Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score$-1,325
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$-1,000
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$-585
Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score$-400
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$-400
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-389
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score$-360
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-320
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?$-304
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$-290

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.276
Sortino
0.871
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.373
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
35%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.5m
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity21 trades/day — high frequency4.6 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.62
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.4%
Mid (20-55c)32.7%
High (>55c)39.9%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 8:21:46 AM100 trades$12,51418 min
6/20/2026, 7:24:55 PM26 trades$2,4955 min
6/26/2026, 12:58:04 AM11 trades$2,1910 min
6/24/2026, 5:16:25 AM42 trades$1,92820 min
6/20/2026, 9:49:43 PM11 trades$1,8049 min
6/21/2026, 9:09:11 PM8 trades$1,6722 min
6/20/2026, 10:09:43 PM18 trades$1,58012 min
6/28/2026, 2:46:20 AM5 trades$1,3940 min
6/20/2026, 5:43:25 PM3 trades$1,2690 min
6/22/2026, 2:28:59 AM4 trades$1,2533 min
6/23/2026, 12:33:49 AM7 trades$1,2063 min
6/21/2026, 5:22:23 AM23 trades$1,17111 min
6/23/2026, 1:12:02 AM3 trades$1,1522 min
6/22/2026, 7:16:41 PM11 trades$1,1422 min
6/22/2026, 2:40:35 AM28 trades$9805 min
6/22/2026, 1:04:59 AM16 trades$9568 min
6/22/2026, 3:07:26 AM14 trades$9556 min
6/22/2026, 1:23:25 AM2 trades$8440 min
7/16/2026, 7:54:13 PM2 trades$8320 min
6/27/2026, 2:10:25 AM6 trades$7592 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-28
07-01
07-03
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.62/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.4 / M32.7 / H39.9