@themorethemerrier
#139,412140x5939a1c8af6205245afedd46332740566ae56687
~17d· 37 markets · 95 tradesVol: $10,7772026-08-05 16:39:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (12/33)3.2/20
0.96x (win $135 / loss $141)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3160/15
Sortino -0.5300/10
$-0.0047 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 718 (33 markets)8.9/10
3/13 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 332% of peak ($107 / $32)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+235
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Categories
6🎭 CULTURE#9,866$351Vol: $7,524
🏛️ POLITICS#151,329$14Vol: $2,647
⚽ SPORTS#1,522,664$-30Vol: $381
₿ CRYPTO#919,789$-2Vol: $184
🌤️ WEATHER#220,822$-4Vol: $31
💻 TECH#67,588$0Vol: $11
Overview
#1Net PnL
$330
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,777
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
45B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
Periods
#2Today
$23
Vol: $4,664
Week
$145
Vol: $4,664
Month
$-91
Vol: $4,664
All Time
$330
Vol: $10,777
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
12W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$235
Win Rate
36%
12W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $121 (0.514136303728583% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$69
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?$47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?$5
Solana above $190 on February 14?$3
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?$2
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?$2
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?$0
Top Losers
Will Trump visit Russia before July?$-22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?$-18
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$-10
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-04?$-10
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-06?$-10
Will Bulgaria win on 2025-09-04?$-10
Will Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?$-10
Trump bans China from buying US farmland?$-10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$-6
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.016
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
13.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 165s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.79
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)44.4%
Sessions
#127/13/2026, 2:35:41 PM14 trades$2,4013 min
6/20/2026, 9:25:02 PM15 trades$7726 min
5/29/2026, 7:34:05 AM5 trades$2040 min
2/12/2025, 8:58:52 PM2 trades$1143 min
1/17/2026, 5:26:32 PM2 trades$992 min
2/18/2025, 9:11:59 AM2 trades$761 min
1/7/2026, 6:33:39 PM1 trades$370 min
2/12/2025, 8:28:43 PM2 trades$352 min
2/11/2025, 7:41:29 PM4 trades$317 min
9/4/2025, 5:16:36 PM3 trades$306 min
2/12/2025, 6:55:30 PM2 trades$253 min
3/10/2025, 8:57:01 AM3 trades$255 min
2/21/2025, 7:15:28 PM2 trades$241 min
2/20/2025, 5:34:41 PM3 trades$232 min
2/12/2025, 6:46:28 PM3 trades$151 min
2/19/2025, 8:37:48 AM2 trades$152 min
2/19/2025, 2:04:43 PM2 trades$151 min
5/23/2025, 7:07:59 AM7 trades$151 min
2/18/2025, 1:14:35 PM2 trades$141 min
2/28/2025, 6:23:06 PM1 trades$120 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
02-13
02-18
02-20
02-28
05-23
01-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 204 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.4 / M31.1 / H44.4