@carpe-noctem

#30,70527

0x596a78ff6de24b12fd39f827aecf93975e2f7a0f

~222d· 6813 markets · 18423 tradesVol: $1,239,3552026-08-04 18:10:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (3145/6779)8.2/20
1.00x (win $105,073 / loss $104,929)2.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0220.4/15
Sortino 0.0380.4/10
$+0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (6779 markets)10/10
112/221 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 103% of peak ($6,904 / $6,696)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+3,954
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$309,249 invested
High Roller
$1,158/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,855,867$-2,128Vol: $241,041
💰 FINANCE#1,390$3,781Vol: $67,209
🌤️ WEATHER#295,602$-531Vol: $53,138
🎭 CULTURE#804,889$-462Vol: $15,927
🏛️ POLITICS#65,730$95Vol: $6,672
📈 ECONOMICS#662,529$-117Vol: $1,692
CRYPTO#339,630$3Vol: $263

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,953
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,239,355
Total Redeem
$33,083
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6813
total markets
Trades
14945B / 3478S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~222d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-20
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,953
Vol: $1,239,355

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
3145W / 3634L events
Realized PnL
$3,954
Win Rate
46%
3145W / 3634L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,634 (1.6777198089134926% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner$3,538
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group D$1,968
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers$1,129
Map Handicap: CHAOS (-1.5) vs WRAITH PCIFIC (+1.5)$992
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage$867
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs Team RA'AD - Map 2 Winner$787
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$733
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$643
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$641
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner$613

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs$-1,352
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner$-812
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$-767
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group D$-603
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner$-557
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner$-486
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage$-471
Will Harry Kane score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-460
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$-450
Game Handicap: IVO (-1.5) vs Yangon Galacticos (+1.5)$-396

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.001
Sortino
0.002
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
69.0
Very active
Markets / Day
25.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock69 trades/day — mass trading26 markets/day — mass coverage57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)41.6%
High (>55c)21.2%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 9:29:06 PM159 trades$3,92731 min
6/28/2026, 11:05:16 AM123 trades$3,26223 min
6/6/2026, 11:05:06 AM27 trades$3,1918 min
6/24/2026, 5:08:53 PM243 trades$2,77953 min
7/4/2026, 8:36:14 AM48 trades$2,6777 min
3/4/2026, 9:13:29 PM18 trades$2,58122 min
7/3/2026, 8:50:38 AM54 trades$2,54422 min
5/7/2026, 8:31:57 PM7 trades$2,4032 min
6/3/2026, 7:14:22 PM39 trades$2,03520 min
5/1/2026, 9:31:08 PM34 trades$2,03518 min
5/9/2026, 10:16:01 AM56 trades$2,01918 min
2/1/2026, 10:23:14 PM35 trades$2,00726 min
3/6/2026, 7:11:09 PM9 trades$1,9658 min
4/29/2026, 12:29:06 PM65 trades$1,94423 min
7/24/2026, 9:23:06 AM48 trades$1,88312 min
7/6/2026, 5:29:26 AM21 trades$1,8277 min
7/24/2026, 12:39:39 PM18 trades$1,8051 min
3/1/2026, 12:23:59 AM5 trades$1,7077 min
4/30/2026, 7:01:00 AM97 trades$1,67527 min
4/30/2026, 2:55:34 PM84 trades$1,66815 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
12-07
01-12
02-19
03-27
05-16
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.3 / M41.6 / H21.2