@Chapmanw
#2,841,559160x59aea3353c484070e6d7c5348e1b54d6755c009e
~10d· 18 markets · 94 tradesVol: $22,0002026-08-04 23:28:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (5/12)5.8/20
0.15x (win $202 / loss $1,321)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.5520/15
Sortino -8.6340/10
$-0.2201 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1174 (12 markets)6.6/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 5798% of peak ($1,183 / $20)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#127,295$23Vol: $18,398
⚽ SPORTS#1,794,946$-497Vol: $3,602
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-475
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,000
Total Redeem
$617
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
58B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
5W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-475
Win Rate
42%
5W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-189
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $176 (0.37037895224654016% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $73
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)$62
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$41
Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)$19
Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)$7
Top Losers
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)$-950
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$-140
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$-93
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$-68
Spread: Odense BK (-2.5)$-42
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)$-25
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.463
Sortino
-0.404
HHI
1128
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.255
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
69.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.9m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)58.6%
Sessions
#125/19/2026, 9:19:56 AM3 trades$1,0015 min
5/13/2026, 6:39:54 AM8 trades$9956 min
5/11/2026, 8:40:58 AM6 trades$9901 min
7/12/2026, 3:25:08 AM4 trades$9051 min
7/7/2026, 3:16:20 AM8 trades$9001 min
7/12/2026, 4:47:55 AM4 trades$8850 min
7/7/2026, 6:29:38 AM6 trades$8332 min
6/25/2026, 8:09:17 AM4 trades$7900 min
6/25/2026, 9:15:04 AM6 trades$7752 min
5/19/2026, 8:07:27 AM2 trades$5100 min
5/15/2026, 6:53:30 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/15/2026, 6:04:32 AM2 trades$4950 min
5/15/2026, 6:45:46 AM1 trades$4820 min
6/16/2026, 6:13:12 AM4 trades$4750 min
4/12/2026, 5:44:03 AM2 trades$3250 min
4/12/2026, 8:05:05 AM2 trades$3120 min
4/11/2026, 3:25:17 AM2 trades$3090 min
4/12/2026, 7:46:53 AM3 trades$3094 min
4/11/2026, 7:44:11 AM2 trades$3050 min
4/11/2026, 7:31:07 AM1 trades$2990 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-12
05-11
05-13
05-15
05-19
06-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.4 / M0 / H58.6