@BaileyDontLook
#12,543870x5a3b0183ccdc34989fb4c58e853e2a6ef6f1957b
~73d· 323 markets · 4401 tradesVol: $233,9652026-08-04 16:20:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (182/323)13.2/20
1.79x (win $19,906 / loss $11,110)12.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.51715/15
Sortino 8.64510/10
$+0.1653 per $1 invested8.3/10
HHI 113 (323 markets)10/10
45/71 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($1,819 / $9,201)10/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+11,855
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Whale
$53,208 invested
Consistent
45/71 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#156$11,895Vol: $233,421
⚽ SPORTS#1,560,095$-40Vol: $544
Overview
#1Net PnL
$11,855
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$233,965
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
323
total markets
Trades
1805B / 2596S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d
Periods
#2Today
$-17
Vol: $23
Week
$51
Vol: $493
Month
$51
Vol: $493
All Time
$11,855
Vol: $233,965
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
182W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$11,855
Win Rate
56%
182W / 141L
Profit Factor
1.79x
Avg Win
$109
Avg Loss
$-82
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,918 (0.3305192619642319% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 3?$1,423
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?$1,351
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?$1,144
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on April 4?$876
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 4?$733
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?$607
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on March 26?$600
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?$592
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on March 25?$507
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on March 30?$458
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 2?$-1,851
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?$-796
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?$-583
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?$-537
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 14?$-426
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 18?$-419
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?$-360
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 16?$-344
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?$-309
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?$-303
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.235
Sortino
0.318
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.165
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
14.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.1m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.63
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)64%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 9:00:56 PM8 trades$4,0001 min
6/6/2026, 8:53:52 PM28 trades$2,47810 min
4/3/2026, 7:51:33 PM38 trades$2,3767 min
6/15/2026, 2:15:00 AM9 trades$1,3521 min
6/11/2026, 8:34:07 PM55 trades$1,2729 min
6/11/2026, 6:40:25 PM61 trades$1,2655 min
7/7/2026, 8:39:50 PM57 trades$1,24221 min
6/10/2026, 11:17:24 PM13 trades$1,1541 min
7/8/2026, 8:54:10 PM15 trades$1,1480 min
6/19/2026, 7:58:47 PM65 trades$1,09222 min
6/14/2026, 11:19:21 PM11 trades$1,0824 min
4/29/2026, 4:54:42 PM8 trades$1,0730 min
4/3/2026, 5:52:43 PM35 trades$1,04310 min
6/20/2026, 9:15:32 PM9 trades$9930 min
3/27/2026, 7:45:21 PM3 trades$9620 min
4/24/2026, 5:11:26 PM54 trades$8643 min
4/27/2026, 10:54:26 PM12 trades$8032 min
6/19/2026, 6:48:55 PM32 trades$7796 min
6/19/2026, 9:47:02 PM14 trades$7176 min
4/4/2026, 10:47:27 PM13 trades$7157 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
12-10
03-30
04-30
05-16
06-15
07-08
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.5 / M21.4 / H64