@Smallfalcons2000

#2,994,22167

0x5a651f8e045c492041940d975b2b7e8d408ce883

~55d· 302 markets · 1182 tradesVol: $1,107,2402026-08-04 17:19:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (207/302)19.3/20
1.19x (win $51,780 / loss $43,487)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.75015/15
Sortino 2.32710/10
$+0.0158 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 81 (302 markets)10/10
30/52 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($14,948 / $13,370)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Whale
$526,070 invested
High Roller
$1,101/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,837,493$-1,231Vol: $1,095,107
📢 MENTIONS#168,042$-170Vol: $6,889
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,501$-585Vol: $5,245

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,985
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,107,240
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
302
total markets
Trades
482B / 700S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
207W / 95L events
Realized PnL
$-1,985
Win Rate
69%
207W / 95L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$250
Avg Loss
$-478

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,728 (3.8930840104578595% of PnL)

Top Winners

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics$4,450
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$1,761
Miami vs. Ohio State$1,518
Pistons vs. Jazz$1,303
Ole Miss vs. Georgia$1,294
Nicholls Colonels vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros$1,240
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$1,206
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5$1,106
Jordan leading at halftime?$936
76ers vs. Bulls$934

Top Losers

Ravens vs. Steelers$-6,903
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)$-2,964
Magic vs. Nets$-2,818
Miami vs. Ole Miss$-2,709
Hurricanes vs. Capitals$-2,654
Arizona State vs. Duke$-2,176
Pacers vs. 76ers$-1,806
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$-1,500
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?$-1,355
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-1,334

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.094
HHI
78
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 726s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.97
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)11%
High (>55c)87.8%

Sessions

#12
1/4/2026, 9:08:31 PM4 trades$16,6458 min
12/27/2025, 5:14:11 AM2 trades$13,1021 min
1/1/2026, 8:51:01 PM2 trades$12,1321 min
12/27/2025, 3:42:27 AM2 trades$10,3580 min
1/2/2026, 2:35:45 AM2 trades$10,1441 min
6/24/2026, 11:45:52 PM4 trades$9,7471 min
12/27/2025, 3:31:29 AM2 trades$9,7463 min
12/28/2025, 9:31:11 PM2 trades$9,6122 min
12/31/2025, 10:54:31 PM3 trades$9,1285 min
6/27/2026, 4:58:37 PM2 trades$8,3920 min
4/6/2025, 12:41:20 AM2 trades$8,2461 min
4/5/2025, 2:04:35 AM2 trades$8,1961 min
1/5/2026, 4:32:57 AM5 trades$8,0558 min
4/5/2025, 1:33:17 AM2 trades$7,9581 min
12/28/2025, 2:52:53 AM2 trades$7,5831 min
1/3/2026, 5:09:35 AM1 trades$7,2930 min
1/4/2026, 10:42:05 PM1 trades$7,2730 min
1/4/2026, 10:21:45 PM1 trades$6,8440 min
12/27/2025, 6:02:09 AM1 trades$6,8410 min
12/31/2025, 8:14:47 PM3 trades$6,7779 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
12-19
01-01
01-09
06-20
06-28
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 168 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M11 / H87.8