@firebroo

#2,984,66082

0x5a7bc8bb1e97f5d5b917bb7ebbfe286a73fafdd1

~163d· 1444 markets · 4284 tradesVol: $368,431 @Firebroo2026-08-04 18:11:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (733/1390)11.4/20
1.57x (win $57,024 / loss $36,274)9.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.78815/15
Sortino 7.54510/10
$+0.1923 per $1 invested9.6/10
HHI 570 (1390 markets)9.7/10
84/153 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($3,076 / $20,794)10/10

Badges

4
Whale
$107,919 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,820,314$-853Vol: $353,421
CRYPTO#1,611,101$-795Vol: $11,929
🏛️ POLITICS#1,490,908$-69Vol: $2,043
📈 ECONOMICS#24,759$27Vol: $198
🎭 CULTURE#67,331$10Vol: $60
🌤️ WEATHER#20,688$12Vol: $33
💰 FINANCE#567,799$-9Vol: $23
💻 TECH#18,765$9Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,772
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$368,431
Total Redeem
$102
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1444
total markets
Trades
2598B / 1686S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~163d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$19
Vol: $0
Month
$39
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,772
Vol: $368,431

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
733W / 657L events
Realized PnL
$-1,772
Win Rate
53%
733W / 657L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,419 (12.084096858638743% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15,539
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?$4,514
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$1,365
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$1,100
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,075
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$900
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$715
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score$680
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$614
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$587

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,343
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score$-1,771
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-1,170
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-643
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-600
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-560
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-547
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-530
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score$-520
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)$-490

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.093
Sortino
0.298
HHI
510
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.171
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
36.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.1m
between trades
Night Trading
70%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)70% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active3.5 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.3%
High (>55c)58.7%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 12:46:07 AM6 trades$8,6251 min
6/29/2026, 3:38:50 AM193 trades$7,21936 min
7/16/2026, 9:31:55 AM2 trades$5,3640 min
7/17/2026, 4:26:42 AM9 trades$5,3465 min
7/10/2026, 2:21:44 AM46 trades$4,2878 min
6/21/2026, 5:00:01 AM3 trades$4,0780 min
6/21/2026, 11:02:28 AM24 trades$3,0426 min
7/20/2026, 5:55:28 AM28 trades$2,6040 min
6/12/2026, 7:12:13 AM171 trades$2,56223 min
7/1/2026, 2:58:04 AM33 trades$2,30513 min
6/25/2026, 3:14:35 AM78 trades$2,20722 min
6/26/2026, 9:38:08 PM34 trades$2,13614 min
7/1/2026, 4:43:19 PM8 trades$1,9523 min
6/24/2026, 7:37:04 PM10 trades$1,9412 min
6/25/2026, 3:41:49 AM15 trades$1,94112 min
6/21/2026, 12:07:26 AM20 trades$1,8855 min
5/28/2026, 12:53:07 AM79 trades$1,87311 min
7/10/2026, 11:15:19 PM31 trades$1,77810 min
7/1/2026, 8:33:31 AM6 trades$1,7032 min
7/14/2026, 8:44:20 PM30 trades$1,6724 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
07-29
09-30
12-31
04-20
06-20
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 314 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M37.3 / H58.7