@ballyhooo
#38,451220x5ad63f1d19baa674f090e34ab377f5bee2955e1c
~66d· 163 markets · 2177 tradesVol: $218,5172026-08-04 19:58:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (69/152)7.7/20
0.99x (win $28,984 / loss $29,225)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1160/15
Sortino -0.1780/10
$-0.0028 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 710 (152 markets)8.9/10
19/45 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 1558% of peak ($5,289 / $339)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+2,959
DCA Master
Avg 17.5 entries/market
Whale
$86,947 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#8,538$3,203Vol: $163,846
📈 ECONOMICS#5,904$349Vol: $22,172
🎭 CULTURE#11,541$273Vol: $12,926
⚽ SPORTS#1,191,183$-5Vol: $6,902
💰 FINANCE#643,541$-228Vol: $6,195
💻 TECH#253,358$-212Vol: $3,181
₿ CRYPTO#1,581,642$-418Vol: $1,424
🌤️ WEATHER#166,015$-0Vol: $995
📢 MENTIONS#108,129$-4Vol: $876
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,959
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$218,517
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
163
total markets
Trades
1418B / 759S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d
Periods
#2Today
$-58
Vol: $800
Week
$-52
Vol: $800
Month
$-220
Vol: $1,150
All Time
$2,959
Vol: $218,517
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
69W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$2,959
Win Rate
45%
69W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$420
Avg Loss
$-365
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,904 (5.375273759632282% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$7,390
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5,600
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$2,915
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,187
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2,064
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$745
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$554
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$518
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$515
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$457
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-13,124
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$-1,535
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-1,418
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-982
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-965
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-741
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-680
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-632
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-581
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-560
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
1219
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.3%
Top-5 markets
69.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
22.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.3m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 380s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)23%
High (>55c)60.4%
Sessions
#125/18/2026, 7:07:28 PM34 trades$16,9842 min
5/18/2026, 6:05:58 PM16 trades$6,3590 min
5/22/2026, 9:30:29 PM3 trades$3,4062 min
6/14/2026, 9:10:46 PM77 trades$2,33738 min
5/18/2026, 6:21:20 PM6 trades$2,1230 min
5/28/2026, 1:08:35 PM33 trades$2,08711 min
6/14/2026, 4:13:39 PM30 trades$1,9022 min
5/1/2026, 1:45:28 PM6 trades$1,8906 min
5/2/2026, 9:40:30 PM3 trades$1,6950 min
6/19/2026, 11:14:11 AM12 trades$1,6586 min
5/28/2026, 2:13:55 PM13 trades$1,5436 min
5/22/2026, 3:59:59 AM2 trades$1,5330 min
6/15/2026, 3:27:13 PM11 trades$1,48011 min
5/19/2026, 7:13:51 PM2 trades$1,4100 min
6/17/2026, 11:49:43 PM3 trades$1,3750 min
5/22/2026, 9:40:29 PM1 trades$1,3700 min
5/4/2026, 1:10:54 PM3 trades$1,2415 min
6/14/2026, 4:30:39 PM42 trades$1,16219 min
6/15/2026, 4:50:40 PM1 trades$1,1270 min
6/5/2026, 3:35:19 PM11 trades$1,0401 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-16
05-28
06-07
06-15
06-22
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.6 / M23 / H60.4