elcesianomejorado

@elcesianomejorado

#283,02269

0x5af297ac611b62eb23cc97f27618180601e05a5b

~208d· 964 markets · 2250 tradesVol: $36,0122026-08-04 21:51:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (731/950)20/20
1.16x (win $354 / loss $305)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.81315/15
Sortino 0.9599.6/10
$+0.0021 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 31 (950 markets)10/10
138/192 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 151% of peak ($97 / $64)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+67
Consistent
138/192 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#223,366$-4Vol: $22,045
SPORTS#158,084$56Vol: $8,616
🏛️ POLITICS#176,349$9Vol: $1,721
🎭 CULTURE#691,483$-10Vol: $1,540
📈 ECONOMICS#43,222$10Vol: $897
💰 FINANCE#106,921$2Vol: $273
CRYPTO#1,079,225$-6Vol: $258
💻 TECH#64,369$0Vol: $97
📢 MENTIONS#104,792$-3Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,012
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
964
total markets
Trades
1546B / 704S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~208d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$67
Vol: $36,012

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
731W / 219L events
Realized PnL
$67
Win Rate
77%
731W / 219L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $32 (0.4871794871794871% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 27?$12
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$11
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$10
Will The Wizard of Oz at Sphere win the PGA Innovation Award at the 37th PGA Awards?$9
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?$9
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-19?$9
Will Emiliano Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$9
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$9
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$8

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 21?$-40
Will "Treasure Self Love - Lila Iké" win Best Reggae Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$-20
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$-16
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$-10
Who will finish higher: Colapinto or Gasly?$-8
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7
Will Emiliano Martínez record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?$-5
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.027
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 394s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal3.7 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)84.9%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 9:57:10 PM26 trades$41022 min
5/2/2026, 9:52:24 PM2 trades$3900 min
6/14/2026, 3:20:42 PM10 trades$3174 min
5/7/2026, 11:29:53 PM12 trades$3059 min
5/1/2026, 1:53:56 PM6 trades$2441 min
5/1/2026, 10:46:06 PM11 trades$2443 min
6/7/2026, 3:28:27 PM12 trades$2417 min
4/14/2026, 9:41:46 PM2 trades$2300 min
4/2/2026, 10:22:17 PM8 trades$2276 min
7/5/2026, 3:26:35 PM31 trades$2258 min
4/26/2026, 8:51:44 PM5 trades$2252 min
6/17/2026, 4:24:17 PM16 trades$2242 min
5/13/2026, 10:22:01 PM9 trades$2154 min
5/9/2026, 11:34:45 PM9 trades$21210 min
3/29/2026, 6:26:24 AM15 trades$21017 min
5/1/2026, 1:12:08 AM5 trades$2100 min
7/25/2026, 7:44:28 PM4 trades$2041 min
4/25/2026, 9:11:36 PM4 trades$1992 min
5/3/2026, 6:09:02 PM22 trades$19416 min
6/11/2026, 8:08:00 PM26 trades$1902 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
01-08
02-11
03-16
05-02
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M6 / H84.9