@mcdonalddevon
#511,732550x5b9b465136a6ddfcb6313178a2faefe896bb6f62
~35d· 65 markets · 140 tradesVol: $7,2662026-08-04 20:39:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (25/65)4.2/20
1.92x (win $18 / loss $9)14/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.64115/15
Sortino 5.20710/10
$+0.0026 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 1859 (65 markets)3.2/10
17/35 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($8 / $17)3.9/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+9
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#285,455$9Vol: $4,256
🎭 CULTURE#554,190$-1Vol: $2,815
💰 FINANCE#219,820$0Vol: $100
₿ CRYPTO#495,606$0Vol: $92
🏛️ POLITICS#562,345$0Vol: $1
🌤️ WEATHER#151,124$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,266
Total Redeem
$18
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
87B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$9
Vol: $7,266
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
25W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$9
Win Rate
38%
25W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.92x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (2.0000000000000004% of PnL)
Top Winners
Pacers vs. 76ers$17
Kings vs. Rangers$1
Sabres vs. Capitals$0
Lions vs. Bears$0
Will XRP reach $4.50 in October?$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?$0
Solana above $190 on January 17?$0
Solana above $200 on February 21?$0
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?$0
Will Solana dip to $100 in June?$0
Top Losers
49ers vs. Dolphins$-4
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Manchester City wins the Premier League?$-1
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Pelicans vs. Rockets$-1
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?$-0
Blackhawks vs. Devils$-0
Cardinals vs. Panthers$-0
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.085
Sortino
0.133
HHI
1782
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
35.4%
Half-Kelly
17.7%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
85.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 649s — normal for humanCV 3.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.17
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)58.6%
Sessions
#123/19/2025, 8:54:32 AM1 trades$7020 min
3/19/2025, 10:45:35 AM1 trades$7010 min
3/19/2025, 2:59:46 PM1 trades$7000 min
3/19/2025, 11:10:49 AM1 trades$7000 min
3/19/2025, 4:50:26 PM1 trades$7000 min
3/19/2025, 12:10:26 PM1 trades$6990 min
3/19/2025, 1:45:44 PM1 trades$6970 min
3/19/2025, 2:25:12 PM1 trades$6960 min
12/15/2024, 11:40:41 AM6 trades$727 min
12/15/2024, 3:01:14 PM2 trades$503 min
12/15/2024, 9:14:31 AM2 trades$471 min
12/14/2024, 12:48:37 AM6 trades$395 min
7/21/2026, 11:59:39 AM2 trades$310 min
5/26/2026, 4:22:20 AM2 trades$300 min
12/13/2024, 1:24:38 AM3 trades$302 min
12/12/2024, 12:42:48 PM2 trades$293 min
12/13/2024, 12:24:48 PM2 trades$292 min
12/12/2024, 8:48:54 PM4 trades$274 min
12/16/2024, 1:20:24 AM1 trades$210 min
12/16/2024, 1:30:06 AM1 trades$210 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
01-05
01-19
02-20
03-25
07-27
03-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 95 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M40.2 / H58.6