Holyaurafarmer

@Holyaurafarmer

#2,749,51474

0x5be33cbfe9174bc7d29e40c12b02098fcb1327a5

~11d· 572 markets · 2927 tradesVol: $82,7852026-08-05 18:25:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (274/541)10.3/20
1.29x (win $5,916 / loss $4,577)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.01515/15
Sortino 39.14710/10
$+0.1558 per $1 invested7.8/10
HHI 186 (541 markets)10/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($181 / $1,487)10/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#3,231$372Vol: $54,878
CRYPTO#1,590,980$-498Vol: $22,879
🎭 CULTURE#655,037$-6Vol: $2,010
SPORTS#1,684,623$-104Vol: $1,543
🏛️ POLITICS#1,203,230$-7Vol: $1,273
💰 FINANCE#552,635$-6Vol: $113
📈 ECONOMICS#136,661$1Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-247
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,785
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
572
total markets
Trades
1225B / 1702S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-247
Vol: $82,785

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
274W / 267L events
Realized PnL
$-247
Win Rate
51%
274W / 267L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,243 (5.026029667353785% of PnL)

Top Winners

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$562
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?$351
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?$331
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?$269
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$180
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16?$61
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$48
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$44
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$41

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-104
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$-47
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$-46
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$-46
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-40
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-40
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.398
Sortino
1.866
HHI
160
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
23.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
51.4
Very active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock51 trades/day — mass trading10 markets/day — mass coverage42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)36%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 9:25:43 AM10 trades$1,3015 min
5/15/2026, 3:43:45 AM166 trades$1,10238 min
5/16/2026, 10:41:12 AM17 trades$6464 min
5/14/2026, 3:46:13 PM95 trades$63128 min
5/14/2026, 4:51:03 PM96 trades$55925 min
5/14/2026, 7:10:16 PM80 trades$48725 min
5/16/2026, 4:36:28 AM4 trades$4381 min
5/16/2026, 7:57:20 AM3 trades$3920 min
5/12/2026, 6:51:51 AM172 trades$3855 min
5/14/2026, 1:45:10 PM65 trades$36726 min
5/14/2026, 5:30:29 PM60 trades$36520 min
5/14/2026, 2:45:14 PM56 trades$34715 min
5/14/2026, 6:13:18 AM52 trades$2955 min
5/14/2026, 3:21:24 PM52 trades$28619 min
5/17/2026, 9:46:05 AM56 trades$2854 min
5/15/2026, 12:59:15 AM49 trades$26312 min
5/14/2026, 4:36:26 PM44 trades$26110 min
5/14/2026, 6:26:57 PM31 trades$25814 min
5/12/2026, 4:50:52 AM44 trades$25113 min
5/14/2026, 8:15:24 PM43 trades$2475 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
05-13
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-17
05-19
05-23
05-24
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.1 / M23.9 / H36