@0x5Bff2c…6068

#2,724,2231

0x5bff2c207f1161e8328555adfdb8f39c003be08f

~97d· 205 markets · 2605 tradesVol: $1,013,8102026-08-04 22:47:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (62/205)0.1/20
0.61x (win $2,623 / loss $4,266)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1520/15
Sortino -2.4590/10
$-0.1798 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9189 (205 markets)0/10
29/87 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 1233% of peak ($2,516 / $204)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#17,075$140Vol: $718,351
🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,622$-300Vol: $285,000
₿ CRYPTO#1,392,711$-51Vol: $8,545
⚽ SPORTS#930,791$-1Vol: $1,188
🌤️ WEATHER#218,762$-3Vol: $726

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-215
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,013,810
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
205
total markets
Trades
1978B / 627S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $1,200
Week
$15
Vol: $1,600
Month
$15
Vol: $1,600
All Time
$-215
Vol: $1,013,810

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
62W / 143L events
Realized PnL
$-215
Win Rate
30%
62W / 143L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,408 (6.535533583994801% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$586
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$442
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$380
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$139
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$120
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$120
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$110
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$84
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$59
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$47

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,200
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$-292
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$-182
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$-136
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-126
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-107
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-106
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-97
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$-76

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
293
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.8m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 148s — normal for humanCV 4.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.9%
Mid (20-55c)5.1%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 5:27:49 AM4 trades$260,0000 min
4/10/2026, 4:34:57 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/21/2026, 10:48:01 PM2 trades$6,0000 min
5/10/2026, 6:25:58 AM5 trades$1,2890 min
4/1/2026, 11:25:37 AM5 trades$1,0000 min
6/22/2026, 4:13:37 AM7 trades$5820 min
5/6/2026, 9:34:38 PM5 trades$4330 min
4/23/2026, 10:25:44 PM7 trades$3113 min
4/29/2026, 4:19:40 AM6 trades$2891 min
5/22/2026, 1:44:34 AM5 trades$2762 min
4/30/2026, 10:26:10 PM6 trades$2740 min
6/7/2026, 2:12:39 PM15 trades$2560 min
6/13/2026, 2:18:49 AM6 trades$2534 min
6/8/2026, 2:56:30 AM3 trades$2314 min
5/14/2026, 9:59:45 AM3 trades$2160 min
5/6/2026, 9:45:59 PM11 trades$2116 min
6/12/2026, 2:12:15 AM5 trades$2100 min
4/1/2026, 7:13:37 AM11 trades$1519 min
4/24/2026, 10:24:44 PM4 trades$1490 min
3/31/2026, 10:56:03 AM5 trades$1484 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
03-15
03-31
04-30
05-15
06-11
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.76/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.9 / M5.1 / H22