@xiaohao023023

#2,863,53185

0x5c620d388c0b75dedff3456087b82198f5232dda

~207d· 345 markets · 726 tradesVol: $358,4222026-08-04 20:45:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (304/341)20/20
2.63x (win $1,091 / loss $415)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.05015/15
Sortino 3.82910/10
$+0.0032 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 71 (341 markets)10/10
170/188 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($307 / $676)4.9/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Whale
$208,780 invested
Consistent
170/188 profitable days
Win Streak
35 wins in a row

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,565,663$-307Vol: $303,294
🌤️ WEATHER#285,158$-100Vol: $35,382
🏛️ POLITICS#1,530,038$-111Vol: $17,354
🎭 CULTURE#746,486$-33Vol: $2,142
📈 ECONOMICS#560,829$-4Vol: $250

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-555
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$358,422
Total Redeem
$66,456
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
345
total markets
Trades
420B / 306S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~207d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-555
Vol: $358,422

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
304W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-555
Win Rate
89%
304W / 37L
Profit Factor
2.63x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $174 (0.31279373368146207% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 3?$82
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$38
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?$37
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on March 29?$32
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3?$31
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 25?$26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 11?$21

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8?$-200
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?$-146
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 18?$-21
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-19
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-14
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.159
Sortino
0.051
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10430s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)98.3%

Sessions

#12
2/4/2026, 2:06:10 PM5 trades$4,9067 min
2/12/2026, 12:41:31 PM4 trades$4,5532 min
2/2/2026, 1:51:00 PM2 trades$4,4910 min
5/16/2026, 11:17:43 PM2 trades$4,3200 min
5/11/2026, 6:54:17 AM6 trades$4,2600 min
5/16/2026, 12:55:51 AM2 trades$3,9960 min
4/6/2026, 1:33:29 AM2 trades$3,6920 min
5/5/2026, 10:48:48 PM10 trades$3,6811 min
5/9/2026, 8:07:34 AM2 trades$3,6440 min
6/1/2026, 12:02:32 PM3 trades$3,3602 min
5/19/2026, 11:49:28 PM4 trades$3,3400 min
2/1/2026, 1:09:14 AM4 trades$3,2595 min
5/5/2026, 12:44:56 AM12 trades$3,0973 min
5/4/2026, 11:56:00 AM8 trades$2,6723 min
5/10/2026, 12:12:16 AM9 trades$2,6224 min
4/1/2026, 8:21:13 AM25 trades$2,4356 min
1/13/2026, 9:22:45 AM4 trades$2,3536 min
3/28/2026, 1:17:09 AM3 trades$2,2411 min
3/2/2026, 12:40:07 PM4 trades$2,1784 min
5/18/2026, 7:47:43 AM2 trades$2,1660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
11-29
01-02
02-12
03-20
05-15
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M1.4 / H98.3