@jesus-rooster

#141,07235

0x5c98ed26e9e8e9b7d71ef40994f82e4a8ff5a58b

~301d· 379 markets · 1047 tradesVol: $26,7502026-08-05 00:39:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (194/313)16/20
0.95x (win $1,746 / loss $1,840)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2110/15
Sortino -0.2390/10
$-0.0078 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 164 (313 markets)10/10
103/181 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 115% of peak ($715 / $619)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+321
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#537,518$-3Vol: $10,965
🏛️ POLITICS#65,089$97Vol: $7,173
⚽ SPORTS#169,907$47Vol: $3,670
₿ CRYPTO#87,186$112Vol: $1,700
💰 FINANCE#18,369$98Vol: $995
🎭 CULTURE#31,568$47Vol: $886
💻 TECH#200,935$-2Vol: $587
📢 MENTIONS#157,631$-54Vol: $449
🌤️ WEATHER#242,099$-9Vol: $166

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$321
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,750
Total Redeem
$234
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
379
total markets
Trades
800B / 247S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~301d

Periods

#2
Today
$28
Vol: $0
Week
$32
Vol: $0
Month
$23
Vol: $13
All Time
$321
Vol: $26,750

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
194W / 119L events
Realized PnL
$321
Win Rate
62%
194W / 119L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $363 (1.1293495175848116% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$203
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$98
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$61
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$56
Will Napoli win the Serie A?$41
Will Josh Allen be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?$39
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?$36
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?$36
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?$32
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$31

Top Losers

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$-528
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?$-76
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?$-68
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$-62
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-51
Texas vs. Ohio State$-50
Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?$-39
Will the Green Bay Packers be the first team to reach 50 total points scored?$-39
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.011
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
14.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
50.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3044s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)27%
High (>55c)60.5%

Sessions

#12
2/17/2025, 11:29:58 PM1 trades$4000 min
7/9/2026, 4:32:41 PM32 trades$37715 min
7/9/2026, 4:17:23 PM10 trades$3237 min
1/23/2025, 11:31:43 PM2 trades$3042 min
1/22/2025, 3:32:29 AM18 trades$28227 min
4/10/2026, 5:53:53 PM10 trades$2513 min
3/6/2025, 1:30:15 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/20/2026, 5:37:57 PM8 trades$20014 min
1/25/2025, 11:46:15 PM1 trades$1970 min
7/3/2026, 5:23:07 PM8 trades$1881 min
1/13/2026, 11:01:38 PM4 trades$1798 min
7/31/2026, 4:58:44 AM10 trades$1644 min
5/23/2026, 12:40:08 AM11 trades$1621 min
7/14/2025, 4:15:14 PM3 trades$1625 min
3/22/2026, 10:35:29 PM9 trades$15210 min
7/25/2025, 12:08:39 PM4 trades$1523 min
10/21/2025, 10:12:49 PM5 trades$1337 min
12/5/2025, 5:16:53 PM7 trades$1176 min
5/29/2026, 7:55:46 PM4 trades$1071 min
6/22/2025, 7:22:28 AM3 trades$1012 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
04-17
06-21
08-20
11-03
01-14
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M27 / H60.5