@keepingup

#132,10463

0x5ca01384ee8f51d3d2bb5f7f4d4babbd6471c859

~14d· 11 markets · 20 tradesVol: $4,6062026-08-04 20:57:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (4/9)7.2/20
2.01x (win $490 / loss $244)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.31915/15
Sortino 12.01310/10
$+0.0892 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 2203 (9 markets)1.5/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($156 / $334)4.6/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+372
Diamond Hands
5% sells

Categories

3
CRYPTO#89,543$108Vol: $2,204
🎭 CULTURE#10,053$340Vol: $2,202
SPORTS#1,644,391$-76Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$372
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,606
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
19B / 1S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
All Time
$372
Vol: $4,606

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
4W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$372
Win Rate
44%
4W / 5L
Profit Factor
2.01x
Avg Win
$123
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $459 (1.233874872236269% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$248
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$130
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$81
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$31

Top Losers

USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?$-76
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$-69
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$-12
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.260
Sortino
0.820
HHI
1032
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.130
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.4%
Top-5 markets
63.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1160s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.44
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)63.2%

Sessions

#12
3/30/2026, 12:40:44 PM1 trades$5630 min
2/3/2026, 1:31:12 PM1 trades$4340 min
4/14/2026, 11:42:31 AM2 trades$3282 min
12/14/2025, 4:57:23 AM1 trades$2800 min
4/17/2026, 4:10:12 AM1 trades$2700 min
12/4/2025, 12:12:15 PM1 trades$2190 min
12/14/2025, 4:00:07 AM1 trades$1870 min
7/4/2026, 8:28:17 AM1 trades$1300 min
7/5/2026, 10:46:07 PM1 trades$850 min
2/1/2026, 10:49:28 AM1 trades$760 min
6/27/2026, 1:02:20 AM1 trades$490 min
4/20/2026, 10:26:12 AM2 trades$420 min
1/23/2026, 1:51:50 PM1 trades$410 min
1/23/2026, 2:11:10 PM2 trades$280 min
1/23/2026, 6:03:26 AM1 trades$120 min
6/30/2026, 4:32:19 PM1 trades$90 min
4/9/2026, 10:52:17 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
12-14
01-23
02-01
02-03
03-30
04-09
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M26.3 / H63.2