@novario
#103,04990x5ca1603e4eefebea6f4f453475667302b4674268
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
16% (17/107)0/20
0.55x (win $2,840 / loss $5,138)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1730/15
Sortino -4.0290/10
$-0.2763 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 650 (107 markets)9.2/10
10/57 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 257% of peak ($3,765 / $1,468)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+642
Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#49,346$655Vol: $295,625
💻 TECH#230,908$-14Vol: $647
Overview
#1Net PnL
$642
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$296,272
Total Redeem
$124
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
1359B / 620S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
16W / 91L events
Realized PnL
$642
Win Rate
15%
16W / 91L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$167
Avg Loss
$-62
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,980 (3.0850954421503705% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$782
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Lehecka$774
US Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Hamad Medjedovic$423
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik$203
US Open: Ugo Humbert vs Adam Walton$120
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov$114
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$113
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda$90
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score$46
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu$40
Top Losers
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-1,168
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-388
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-232
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-190
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic $-176
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-163
Will Coco Gauff be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-158
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?$-130
Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-129
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$-127
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.165
Sortino
-0.214
HHI
814
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.200
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
52.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 214s — normal for humanCV 3.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)81%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)12.2%
Sessions
#125/13/2026, 4:36:20 PM25 trades$1,64013 min
5/22/2026, 1:57:42 PM19 trades$1,0860 min
5/28/2026, 5:10:40 PM2 trades$8680 min
5/25/2026, 5:04:06 PM25 trades$83617 min
6/1/2026, 12:02:18 PM15 trades$7060 min
5/31/2026, 10:25:52 PM2 trades$6690 min
4/21/2026, 3:06:08 PM19 trades$6386 min
5/12/2026, 6:26:13 PM8 trades$5150 min
5/12/2026, 12:52:07 PM5 trades$4290 min
5/22/2026, 2:13:13 PM19 trades$3707 min
6/24/2026, 3:29:13 AM7 trades$3560 min
6/14/2026, 12:11:40 AM12 trades$3511 min
5/2/2026, 4:38:08 PM7 trades$3433 min
5/13/2026, 4:18:33 PM15 trades$3363 min
6/3/2026, 10:55:09 AM9 trades$3282 min
6/15/2026, 8:50:48 PM4 trades$3150 min
5/1/2026, 2:10:36 PM14 trades$3073 min
4/24/2026, 4:57:34 PM8 trades$2937 min
6/3/2026, 11:50:38 AM6 trades$2930 min
5/1/2026, 2:26:04 PM4 trades$2861 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
09-30
02-21
05-22
06-08
06-18
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 314 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81 / M6.8 / H12.2