@Downerd

#460,15633

0x5cab10e44ef919216c6384539fc2dcf7ebc8ff14

~14d· 23 markets · 97 tradesVol: $25,3892026-08-04 19:44:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (11/18)15.6/20
0.95x (win $346 / loss $364)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4260/15
Sortino -0.5810/10
$-0.0025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 727 (18 markets)8.9/10
7/12 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($183 / $165)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+14
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#123,492$24Vol: $20,240
⚽ SPORTS#1,360,868$-11Vol: $5,149

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,389
Total Redeem
$1,025
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
58B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$18
Vol: $3,660
Week
$18
Vol: $3,660
Month
$18
Vol: $3,660
All Time
$14
Vol: $25,389

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
11W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$14
Win Rate
61%
11W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-52

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $172 (12.661254612546125% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)$70
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$59
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-2.5)$42
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$40
Spread: Ceramica Cleopatra Club (-1.5)$39
Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)$35
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)$25
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$18
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30$10
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)$7

Top Losers

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-111
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?$-72
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-61
Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)$-58
Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)$-45
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$-17
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.021
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
720
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
50%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1244s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)53.4%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 5:40:36 AM4 trades$9300 min
7/2/2026, 7:13:53 AM4 trades$9000 min
7/2/2026, 9:38:49 AM4 trades$8900 min
7/17/2026, 3:11:24 AM3 trades$8900 min
7/17/2026, 6:36:57 AM6 trades$8721 min
5/7/2026, 4:58:44 AM4 trades$8700 min
4/27/2026, 6:46:46 AM4 trades$8680 min
6/18/2026, 5:39:31 AM4 trades$6000 min
5/8/2026, 7:34:03 AM2 trades$5000 min
5/8/2026, 6:13:16 AM2 trades$4800 min
5/8/2026, 6:53:08 AM1 trades$4650 min
5/9/2026, 5:07:30 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/9/2026, 6:30:50 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/9/2026, 6:51:34 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/5/2026, 5:18:56 AM2 trades$4480 min
4/13/2026, 4:46:47 AM2 trades$4070 min
4/11/2026, 5:57:03 AM2 trades$3690 min
4/11/2026, 6:37:07 AM4 trades$3682 min
4/13/2026, 6:40:59 AM2 trades$3510 min
4/12/2026, 5:31:19 AM4 trades$3491 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-13
04-27
05-06
05-08
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.6 / M0 / H53.4