@sposisi

#13,63775

0x5d4e051eea1f7ad179ee586092853ba9d75d14cf

~75d· 157 markets · 848 tradesVol: $359,1322026-08-05 21:59:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (49/156)0.7/20
3.91x (win $13,144 / loss $3,362)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.85315/15
Sortino 47.55710/10
$+1.1654 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 419 (156 markets)10/10
34/74 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($361 / $9,926)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+10,862
Lottery Player
86% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#193$10,075Vol: $340,014
🎭 CULTURE#16,104$154Vol: $12,811
💰 FINANCE#606,668$-29Vol: $3,307
🏛️ POLITICS#23,147$662Vol: $3,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,862
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$359,132
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
157
total markets
Trades
496B / 352S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
49W / 107L events
Realized PnL
$10,862
Win Rate
31%
49W / 107L
Profit Factor
3.91x
Avg Win
$268
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,839 (0.4454323506234304% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 27?$1,823
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?$1,718
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 4?$1,298
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?$1,045
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 7?$983
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on June 25?$801
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?$724
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 12?$569
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?$555
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?$451

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 26?$-84
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?$-84
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?$-78
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?$-74
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 17?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C on February 9?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 30?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7?$-52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$-46

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.356
Sortino
2.337
HHI
571
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.178
Kelly %
7.3%
Half-Kelly
3.7%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
47.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
55s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 55s — normal for humanCV 3.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)86.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)13.5%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 7:28:12 PM10 trades$2,0800 min
6/12/2026, 11:25:00 PM4 trades$1,1750 min
3/16/2026, 11:53:57 PM51 trades$1,11112 min
6/4/2026, 8:53:57 AM12 trades$1,04817 min
5/7/2026, 2:27:04 AM3 trades$1,0171 min
2/8/2026, 7:55:53 AM13 trades$9246 min
6/25/2026, 4:55:50 PM10 trades$8357 min
3/30/2026, 9:24:52 AM10 trades$80414 min
3/16/2026, 7:59:31 AM2 trades$5770 min
2/14/2026, 3:40:05 AM8 trades$4916 min
3/22/2026, 1:55:13 PM10 trades$33412 min
3/13/2026, 11:19:17 AM10 trades$3033 min
4/30/2026, 4:37:40 AM3 trades$2771 min
3/23/2026, 10:53:13 AM21 trades$27315 min
3/24/2026, 12:06:25 AM7 trades$2124 min
3/9/2026, 12:29:33 AM19 trades$2107 min
2/24/2026, 2:01:54 PM7 trades$2094 min
6/4/2026, 9:22:34 AM6 trades$19711 min
5/2/2026, 12:01:08 PM8 trades$1802 min
3/8/2026, 4:21:49 PM3 trades$1791 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-19
03-08
03-20
04-25
05-15
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L86.3 / M0.2 / H13.5