@watchnigher

#423,12352

0x5d766a416d9b4003e451804f3aee4bed9d0de8b9

~10d· 11 markets · 28 tradesVol: $1,2692026-08-04 20:21:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (3/5)15/20
99.00x (win $24 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0989 per $1 invested4.9/10
HHI 2607 (5 markets)0/10
3/5 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $24)10/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+19
Cool Head
Max DD 0%

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#24,979$8Vol: $993
🏛️ POLITICS#166,495$11Vol: $276

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
14B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $28
All Time
$19
Vol: $1,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
3W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$19
Win Rate
60%
3W / 2L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (1.2489429175475686% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 29?$20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?$3
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$1

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.551
Sortino
inf
HHI
351
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.262
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
37.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.47
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 49036s — normal for humanCV 0.47 — uniform order sizes0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)21.4%
High (>55c)78.6%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 6:50:19 AM2 trades$500 min
7/28/2026, 1:10:16 PM2 trades$500 min
7/29/2026, 9:07:21 PM2 trades$500 min
7/17/2026, 1:23:12 PM2 trades$270 min
7/26/2026, 9:33:07 PM2 trades$270 min
7/15/2026, 9:04:13 PM2 trades$260 min
7/27/2026, 2:25:03 PM2 trades$260 min
7/9/2026, 10:09:04 AM2 trades$200 min
7/13/2026, 6:30:11 PM2 trades$200 min
7/29/2026, 7:30:05 AM2 trades$150 min
7/12/2026, 12:45:35 PM2 trades$110 min
7/12/2026, 12:51:22 PM2 trades$110 min
7/9/2026, 8:55:55 PM2 trades$100 min
7/28/2026, 7:57:12 AM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-12
07-15
07-24
07-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M21.4 / H78.6