@notrandom2
#74,514570x5dd5791d55a7e52c71ef7e7276ec064f3afd1fcf
~65d· 950 markets · 4654 tradesVol: $128,2692026-08-04 18:12:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
6% (49/857)0/20
1.46x (win $1,478 / loss $1,009)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.63015/15
Sortino 9.70110/10
$+0.3079 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 73 (857 markets)10/10
17/63 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($264 / $526)4/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+1,162
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders
Categories
9🌤️ WEATHER#5,839$143Vol: $58,647
⚽ SPORTS#50,096$636Vol: $33,932
🎭 CULTURE#27,460$61Vol: $14,205
🏛️ POLITICS#43,855$206Vol: $9,330
₿ CRYPTO#133,054$46Vol: $3,681
💻 TECH#212,149$-4Vol: $3,432
💰 FINANCE#57,510$9Vol: $2,339
📢 MENTIONS#10,673$37Vol: $814
📈 ECONOMICS#267,291$0Vol: $2
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
950
total markets
Trades
4484B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d
Periods
#2Today
$-40
Vol: $1,954
Week
$-209
Vol: $6,422
Month
$-77
Vol: $8,046
All Time
$1,162
Vol: $128,269
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
6%
49W / 808L events
Realized PnL
$1,162
Win Rate
6%
49W / 808L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-1
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $418 (0.36024689657547226% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 3?$208
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$106
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 7?$105
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$88
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?$84
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$84
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$80
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$58
Spain leading at halftime?$55
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$55
Top Losers
Will "Schmigadoon!" win Best Original Score at the 2026 Tony Awards?$-29
Will Israel win on 2026-06-09?$-28
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 9?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?$-14
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-14
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 24?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 5?$-12
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12?$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.137
Sortino
0.601
HHI
45
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.349
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
71.6
Very active
Markets / Day
14.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.5m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 327s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage96% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)60.8%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)39%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 7:54:06 PM4 trades$620 min
7/5/2026, 11:28:56 AM2 trades$350 min
7/26/2026, 4:54:04 PM3 trades$331 min
6/9/2026, 5:59:55 PM6 trades$314 min
6/8/2026, 1:10:04 AM14 trades$297 min
6/7/2026, 11:50:12 PM18 trades$2621 min
8/4/2026, 3:57:27 PM42 trades$2416 min
6/20/2026, 9:57:26 PM2 trades$220 min
6/13/2026, 1:20:03 PM4 trades$211 min
7/20/2026, 8:32:19 AM8 trades$181 min
6/20/2026, 9:43:35 PM10 trades$184 min
6/25/2026, 1:03:17 AM5 trades$180 min
6/14/2026, 1:28:07 AM3 trades$162 min
6/7/2026, 6:15:36 PM2 trades$150 min
7/10/2026, 10:00:52 PM4 trades$140 min
6/19/2026, 2:34:56 PM6 trades$144 min
6/28/2026, 2:59:43 PM2 trades$130 min
6/9/2026, 5:01:52 AM6 trades$121 min
6/17/2026, 1:04:49 AM2 trades$120 min
6/5/2026, 10:18:31 PM2 trades$121 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
06-11
06-21
07-01
07-12
07-22
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
32% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.95/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.8 / M0.2 / H39