@Orangjeju2026

#2,743,4542

0x5e248ec7d4cea41ff81872f18c1e58795c27da0c

~19d· 121 markets · 500 tradesVol: $37,603 @gun_nae2026-08-04 15:18:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (35/108)1.2/20
0.39x (win $338 / loss $863)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.9590/15
Sortino -8.9930/10
$-0.4738 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4131 (108 markets)0/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 2184% of peak ($561 / $26)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,649,920$-80Vol: $25,633
🏛️ POLITICS#1,446,932$-41Vol: $7,943
CRYPTO#1,470,650$-101Vol: $2,770
📈 ECONOMICS#550,314$-3Vol: $877
💰 FINANCE#567,647$-9Vol: $125
🌤️ WEATHER#212,104$-2Vol: $66
🎭 CULTURE#534,281$-1Vol: $51

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-241
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,603
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
236B / 264S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
35W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-241
Win Rate
32%
35W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $156 (0.6481350869186409% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Spain (-1.5)$75
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$53
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$28
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 15 above $4.50?$19
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$8

Top Losers

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-80
Brazil leading at halftime?$-74
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-40
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$-40
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-39
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-22
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.507
Sortino
-0.493
HHI
288
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.470
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.7
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 291s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active4.0 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.1%
Mid (20-55c)21.6%
High (>55c)45.3%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 8:33:28 PM4 trades$11,0002 min
7/9/2026, 8:44:44 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
6/16/2026, 5:53:42 AM12 trades$2,0233 min
6/16/2026, 3:31:54 AM4 trades$1,0044 min
6/17/2026, 12:43:25 AM8 trades$8467 min
6/15/2026, 6:40:33 PM12 trades$4840 min
6/19/2026, 10:59:02 PM50 trades$41623 min
7/10/2026, 9:37:52 PM14 trades$2212 min
7/8/2026, 8:56:16 PM2 trades$1890 min
6/19/2026, 11:49:55 PM8 trades$1383 min
7/8/2026, 9:32:38 PM4 trades$1250 min
6/20/2026, 2:40:32 AM4 trades$1051 min
7/9/2026, 9:56:32 PM4 trades$1050 min
7/9/2026, 10:15:04 PM6 trades$940 min
6/27/2026, 10:06:13 PM2 trades$920 min
6/27/2026, 9:06:53 PM4 trades$911 min
6/15/2026, 11:16:45 AM4 trades$870 min
6/15/2026, 1:59:07 PM8 trades$844 min
6/27/2026, 10:46:08 PM4 trades$741 min
6/18/2026, 8:48:34 AM10 trades$728 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-18
06-23
06-29
07-08
07-11
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.1 / M21.6 / H45.3