@Lostpenguin
#3,058,103370x5e32bad4e912a884e7d62e6430d0615e0ad68496
~161d· 5609 markets · 55069 tradesVol: $4,169,8472026-08-04 22:11:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (4041/5609)20/20
0.94x (win $192,815 / loss $205,270)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6580/15
Sortino -2.0990/10
$-0.0087 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5 (5609 markets)10/10
79/159 profitable days (50%)4.9/10
Max DD 1270% of peak ($17,240 / $1,358)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 72%
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$1,429,346 invested
High Roller
$5,695/day
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#1,672,613$-9,208Vol: $4,097,403
🎭 CULTURE#801,751$-333Vol: $40,855
🏛️ POLITICS#1,562,603$-199Vol: $31,589
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-9,739
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,169,847
Total Redeem
$48,618
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5609
total markets
Trades
18557B / 36512S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~161d
Periods
#2Today
$-68
Vol: $12,078
Week
$155
Vol: $25,158
Month
$449
Vol: $39,692
All Time
$-9,739
Vol: $4,169,847
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
4041W / 1568L events
Realized PnL
$-9,765
Win Rate
72%
4041W / 1568L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-132
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,920 (0.19666735281798248% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1,237
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$683
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4AM ET$-2,618
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10PM ET$-2,388
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 8PM ET$-1,343
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-1,300
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12AM ET$-1,212
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4AM ET$-1,200
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$-1,200
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-1,180
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-1,125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$-1,096
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.107
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
219.4
Very active
Markets / Day
22.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.3m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
49.5
Bot Detection
#670
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock219 trades/day — automation22 markets/day — mass coverage37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.82
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)81.7%
Sessions
#123/19/2026, 6:36:07 AM129 trades$12,36544 min
2/18/2026, 9:30:24 AM73 trades$12,01160 min
3/19/2026, 7:26:07 AM68 trades$8,68543 min
3/13/2026, 12:10:57 AM137 trades$8,27944 min
2/19/2026, 9:23:26 AM40 trades$7,71516 min
2/18/2026, 11:09:08 AM23 trades$7,3786 min
3/17/2026, 4:38:43 PM71 trades$6,87832 min
3/19/2026, 12:09:53 PM37 trades$6,65018 min
3/2/2026, 6:07:17 AM40 trades$6,50223 min
3/18/2026, 1:31:23 AM47 trades$6,34429 min
3/18/2026, 12:10:31 AM31 trades$6,31218 min
2/17/2026, 12:54:15 PM6 trades$6,0946 min
3/17/2026, 5:36:19 AM60 trades$6,07826 min
3/25/2026, 1:28:23 AM70 trades$6,06845 min
2/17/2026, 3:05:25 PM18 trades$5,76511 min
3/24/2026, 9:36:25 AM85 trades$5,72543 min
3/15/2026, 10:41:37 PM120 trades$5,57016 min
3/19/2026, 10:50:05 AM138 trades$5,4929 min
2/19/2026, 6:19:30 AM31 trades$5,44814 min
3/20/2026, 7:34:09 AM102 trades$5,34228 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-22
02-18
03-17
05-15
06-23
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 99 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M17.5 / H81.7