Pvarma

@Pvarma

#2,558,5056

0x5e5249457a7e760681bfcee96929953eec4e5386

~7d· 19 markets · 63 tradesVol: $9012026-08-04 18:12:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (4/16)0/20
0.34x (win $67 / loss $197)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.4670/15
Sortino -7.9870/10
$-0.5050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1252 (16 markets)6.2/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 417% of peak ($170 / $41)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,689,113$-109Vol: $625
🏛️ POLITICS#159,751$12Vol: $172
🎭 CULTURE#87,304$6Vol: $44
CRYPTO#1,142,046$-10Vol: $41

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-101
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$901
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
31B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-101
Vol: $901

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
4W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-101
Win Rate
25%
4W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61 (0.6012639478621506% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$35
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$12
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$7

Top Losers

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$-114
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.410
Sortino
-0.412
HHI
1100
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.545
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.2%
Top-5 markets
65.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.69
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 6:55:38 PM2 trades$1120 min
6/21/2026, 6:10:50 PM8 trades$940 min
5/8/2026, 12:08:23 AM6 trades$605 min
5/7/2026, 11:53:57 PM6 trades$394 min
5/13/2026, 10:30:29 PM4 trades$381 min
4/23/2026, 3:09:58 PM6 trades$373 min
5/13/2026, 11:16:04 PM14 trades$337 min
5/17/2026, 5:53:14 PM4 trades$180 min
7/13/2026, 8:37:26 PM2 trades$140 min
5/7/2026, 11:46:10 PM2 trades$110 min
4/23/2026, 3:23:00 PM3 trades$100 min
5/7/2026, 11:36:53 PM2 trades$70 min
5/13/2026, 11:06:32 PM4 trades$64 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
05-07
05-08
05-13
05-17
06-21
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.6 / M38.7 / H38.7