@arianaeu

#2,348,01914

0x5e5478121a71cce54824d4ed506edb44ad4066a2

~14d· 12 markets · 66 tradesVol: $9662026-08-05 02:45:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (4/9)7.2/20
0.50x (win $26 / loss $51)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1400/15
Sortino -5.1520/10
$-0.0737 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3602 (9 markets)0/10
4/7 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 270% of peak ($43 / $16)0/10

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,473,235$-54Vol: $951
📈 ECONOMICS#57,648$5Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-49
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$966
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
22B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-49
Vol: $966

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
4W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-49
Win Rate
44%
4W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (0.49411287048315067% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$11
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$8
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$5
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-7
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$-6
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
1149
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.120
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
55.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 327s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 3:09:19 PM12 trades$1211 min
3/1/2026, 8:39:37 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/4/2026, 7:30:01 AM3 trades$732 min
6/22/2026, 5:31:34 PM4 trades$630 min
6/22/2026, 6:53:13 PM8 trades$511 min
6/22/2026, 7:15:40 PM6 trades$391 min
3/8/2026, 11:29:45 PM1 trades$350 min
3/13/2026, 4:12:55 PM2 trades$282 min
6/22/2026, 6:42:16 PM4 trades$280 min
6/22/2026, 6:47:43 PM3 trades$200 min
6/22/2026, 7:29:41 PM3 trades$190 min
3/26/2026, 8:37:19 AM1 trades$170 min
4/7/2026, 9:01:55 PM1 trades$140 min
3/14/2026, 11:08:57 AM1 trades$100 min
3/26/2026, 7:21:39 AM1 trades$80 min
3/28/2026, 12:48:45 PM1 trades$60 min
4/9/2026, 3:26:25 AM2 trades$60 min
3/7/2026, 10:41:29 AM1 trades$50 min
3/24/2026, 12:30:37 PM1 trades$50 min
3/24/2026, 5:47:29 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-14
03-23
03-25
03-28
04-07
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M50 / H50