@weatheringwithI
#65,104140x5e71d59168257fb5b2c1a8c3037c53084435afe6
~39d· 169 markets · 3840 tradesVol: $152,3652026-08-04 20:13:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (41/169)0/20
0.95x (win $3,630 / loss $3,810)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7220/15
Sortino -1.0020/10
$-0.0188 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 145 (169 markets)10/10
13/34 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 218% of peak ($906 / $416)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+1,471
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#1,220$1,471Vol: $152,365
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,471
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,365
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
169
total markets
Trades
1335B / 2505S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$55
Vol: $5,872
Week
$29
Vol: $13,548
Month
$-399
Vol: $22,072
All Time
$1,471
Vol: $152,365
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
41W / 128L events
Realized PnL
$1,471
Win Rate
24%
41W / 128L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$89
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,342 (0.912916343656072% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?$599
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?$436
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?$307
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$301
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$195
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$166
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?$150
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?$123
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 5?$109
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?$108
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$-521
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?$-282
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?$-225
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 7?$-197
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?$-190
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?$-188
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 18?$-119
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on June 6?$-115
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?$-80
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?$-69
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.037
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
246
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
25.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
72.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.2m
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.7
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading3.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.72
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)35%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)37.8%
Sessions
#126/6/2026, 4:13:39 PM15 trades$7875 min
7/25/2026, 8:24:10 AM22 trades$4329 min
6/10/2026, 8:44:52 AM2 trades$4260 min
6/18/2026, 10:18:34 AM20 trades$3985 min
6/10/2026, 8:16:57 AM15 trades$3961 min
7/6/2026, 3:23:44 PM22 trades$3861 min
6/13/2026, 4:22:12 AM31 trades$38010 min
6/18/2026, 4:07:55 AM40 trades$33811 min
7/26/2026, 6:43:48 AM7 trades$3263 min
6/18/2026, 4:19:37 PM7 trades$3003 min
6/7/2026, 2:50:00 AM47 trades$2999 min
6/20/2026, 2:12:28 AM31 trades$2887 min
6/18/2026, 4:01:04 AM11 trades$2800 min
6/14/2026, 5:04:25 PM11 trades$2753 min
6/7/2026, 4:19:04 AM25 trades$2680 min
6/6/2026, 1:41:09 PM15 trades$2481 min
6/18/2026, 2:29:20 AM18 trades$2462 min
6/7/2026, 4:28:55 AM12 trades$2400 min
6/14/2026, 3:53:07 PM12 trades$2376 min
6/18/2026, 3:08:17 PM15 trades$2357 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-09
06-14
06-19
06-26
07-07
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35 / M27.3 / H37.8