@fegrwinter

#20,46050

0x5ea8d168ce576fdbeb4f239a602adacce2a1b084

~121d· 681 markets · 3510 tradesVol: $940,5182026-08-04 17:35:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (296/664)7.3/20
1.06x (win $125,683 / loss $118,172)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68412.8/15
Sortino 0.9769.8/10
$+0.0269 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 53 (664 markets)10/10
51/101 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 85% of peak ($14,717 / $17,221)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+6,583
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Whale
$279,505 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#3,263$17,322Vol: $804,396
🏛️ POLITICS#1,588,576$-385Vol: $31,448
CRYPTO#1,575,352$-369Vol: $24,758
💰 FINANCE#32,749$31Vol: $4,360
🎭 CULTURE#9,209$391Vol: $4,311
📈 ECONOMICS#21,289$37Vol: $3,148
💻 TECH#24,333$5Vol: $1,875
📢 MENTIONS#3,350$275Vol: $884
🌤️ WEATHER#70,471$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,583
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$940,518
Total Redeem
$28,419
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
681
total markets
Trades
2555B / 955S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,583
Vol: $940,518

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
296W / 368L events
Realized PnL
$6,583
Win Rate
45%
296W / 368L
Profit Factor
1.06x
Avg Win
$425
Avg Loss
$-334

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,473 (2.3502293647659265% of PnL)

Top Winners

Heat vs. Hornets$6,121
Lakers vs. Rockets$4,800
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$4,551
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$4,149
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4,079
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?$3,894
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?$3,880
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$3,135
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?$3,009
76ers vs. Hornets$2,799

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$-6,385
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-4,328
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-3,108
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?$-2,746
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$-2,293
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-2,215
Cavaliers vs. Thunder$-2,001
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$-1,960
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?$-1,747
Timberwolves vs. 76ers$-1,660

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.046
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
8.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.7m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.31
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)39.6%
High (>55c)35.3%

Sessions

#12
3/13/2026, 1:05:31 PM4 trades$6,4455 min
6/15/2026, 6:14:07 PM73 trades$5,08645 min
4/4/2026, 6:59:23 PM4 trades$4,3802 min
3/12/2026, 10:37:31 PM3 trades$4,0004 min
6/26/2026, 6:47:19 PM13 trades$3,4286 min
3/1/2026, 11:41:23 AM3 trades$3,0694 min
3/12/2026, 5:15:45 PM4 trades$2,8604 min
3/25/2026, 10:38:07 AM18 trades$2,80921 min
6/26/2026, 1:17:14 AM12 trades$2,7808 min
4/13/2026, 12:12:15 PM3 trades$2,7585 min
4/24/2026, 11:13:52 PM1 trades$2,7000 min
3/17/2026, 4:02:41 PM2 trades$2,6390 min
3/1/2026, 1:22:01 PM2 trades$2,5203 min
3/20/2026, 11:31:31 PM1 trades$2,5100 min
6/26/2026, 10:23:58 PM8 trades$2,4864 min
3/8/2026, 10:35:53 AM14 trades$2,46921 min
3/6/2026, 3:16:25 PM8 trades$2,35414 min
3/1/2026, 4:53:01 PM42 trades$2,33927 min
3/16/2026, 1:19:43 PM4 trades$2,2703 min
3/1/2026, 11:51:45 AM5 trades$2,2627 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
02-22
03-10
03-26
04-24
06-15
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.1 / M39.6 / H35.3