@0x5f82d8…3134

#3,055,41213

0x5f82d812ff98372347ac9504a6474f033451463b

~48d· 47 markets · 568 tradesVol: $276,6972026-08-04 16:20:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (21/46)7.8/20
0.21x (win $5,946 / loss $28,786)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2960/15
Sortino -5.1610/10
$-0.5554 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1966 (46 markets)2.7/10
12/29 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 23209% of peak ($22,938 / $99)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
80% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 13.3 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,089$-1,682Vol: $105,326
CRYPTO#1,648,317$-2,032Vol: $82,567
SPORTS#1,870,655$-4,622Vol: $43,996
📈 ECONOMICS#5,239$425Vol: $21,417
💰 FINANCE#658,674$-2,635Vol: $15,961
📢 MENTIONS#167,684$-160Vol: $699

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,524
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$276,697
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
319B / 249S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
21W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-8,524
Win Rate
46%
21W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$283
Avg Loss
$-1,199

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,393 (0.39805469883730077% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?$1,822
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?$1,000
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$571
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?$543
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$420
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$415
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$339
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$279
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?$194
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?$115

Top Losers

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-14,942
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-2,763
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$-2,527
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,290
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-1,150
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$-873
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-784
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 23?$-600
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$-400
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$-387

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.272
Sortino
-0.217
HHI
2106
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.467
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.5%
Top-5 markets
79.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.8%
Mid (20-55c)50.5%
High (>55c)19.7%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:19:01 AM15 trades$24,4442 min
7/5/2026, 12:19:56 AM6 trades$9,4424 min
7/10/2026, 11:42:47 AM6 trades$5,3981 min
7/2/2026, 9:11:11 PM25 trades$5,0920 min
7/10/2026, 9:48:04 PM2 trades$3,6880 min
2/28/2026, 6:56:57 AM6 trades$3,6159 min
7/1/2026, 2:54:31 PM7 trades$3,1880 min
7/4/2026, 10:31:56 AM4 trades$3,1610 min
7/10/2026, 2:15:32 AM29 trades$2,5464 min
7/1/2026, 9:38:49 PM14 trades$2,3240 min
6/30/2026, 6:57:08 PM17 trades$2,2093 min
6/30/2026, 1:25:10 PM6 trades$2,1961 min
3/2/2026, 1:39:27 PM1 trades$2,0210 min
2/25/2026, 4:15:50 PM1 trades$1,9250 min
7/10/2026, 2:47:26 AM15 trades$1,8672 min
2/28/2026, 7:37:33 AM1 trades$1,6490 min
7/4/2026, 2:10:55 PM7 trades$1,5852 min
2/17/2026, 3:04:47 PM1 trades$1,5460 min
2/25/2026, 12:56:46 PM1 trades$1,4590 min
2/25/2026, 2:16:00 PM1 trades$1,4590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
02-28
03-08
03-13
03-25
06-14
06-20
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.33/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.8 / M50.5 / H19.7