@francc
#111,122210x5fafd0ef362832109fda6f24fa353015303876df
~49d· 59 markets · 112 tradesVol: $24,1242026-08-05 00:40:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (27/59)7.9/20
0.90x (win $3,742 / loss $4,180)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7260/15
Sortino -1.2280/10
$-0.0488 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 308 (59 markets)10/10
19/49 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 7163% of peak ($1,934 / $27)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+548
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#32,215$1,280Vol: $20,602
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,240$-574Vol: $1,330
₿ CRYPTO#1,425,835$-68Vol: $945
🌤️ WEATHER#220,359$-4Vol: $665
🎭 CULTURE#736,876$-26Vol: $163
📈 ECONOMICS#36,701$13Vol: $75
💰 FINANCE#567,556$-9Vol: $35
Overview
#1Net PnL
$548
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,124
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
101B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
27W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$548
Win Rate
46%
27W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-135
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,602 (2.925778467719843% of PnL)
Top Winners
Knicks vs. Lakers$590
Pistons vs. Heat$572
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14?$440
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?$346
Grizzlies vs. Nets$235
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?$215
Knicks vs. 76ers$209
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?$190
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17?$151
Will Norway win on 2025-10-14?$118
Top Losers
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$-640
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?$-389
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?$-353
Heat vs. Pelicans$-342
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?$-331
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-11-23?$-265
Bills vs. Broncos$-263
Predators vs. Kings$-229
Will FC København win on 2025-10-17?$-203
Commanders vs. Giants$-203
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
26.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 438s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)53.5%
High (>55c)38.6%
Sessions
#123/8/2026, 4:36:43 AM2 trades$9384 min
2/24/2026, 5:20:32 PM3 trades$6403 min
2/16/2026, 5:40:45 PM1 trades$4360 min
2/16/2026, 3:47:43 PM1 trades$3600 min
10/31/2025, 5:36:11 AM1 trades$3530 min
2/11/2026, 11:29:41 AM4 trades$3420 min
2/12/2026, 5:09:17 PM1 trades$3400 min
2/5/2026, 4:02:57 PM1 trades$3100 min
3/9/2026, 2:49:37 PM1 trades$2930 min
3/9/2026, 6:35:43 AM2 trades$2862 min
11/22/2025, 1:46:57 PM1 trades$2650 min
1/27/2026, 9:57:21 AM1 trades$2640 min
1/17/2026, 1:43:18 AM1 trades$2330 min
11/14/2025, 8:35:38 AM1 trades$2280 min
4/2/2026, 7:51:41 AM2 trades$2200 min
3/3/2026, 11:19:31 AM6 trades$2044 min
10/17/2025, 2:46:53 PM1 trades$2030 min
12/12/2025, 4:19:26 AM1 trades$2030 min
12/8/2025, 3:27:55 PM1 trades$2000 min
7/28/2026, 7:34:31 AM8 trades$1813 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-14
10-02
10-19
11-14
01-08
03-03
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 163 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.95/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L7.9 / M53.5 / H38.6