@rains45

#341,0250

0x5fff4aea410f8475127a845b9780fab2120d3cf1

~14d· 29 markets · 210 tradesVol: $53,2632026-08-04 20:09:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

3% (1/29)0/20
0.24x (win $292 / loss $1,194)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3950/15
Sortino -5.2700/10
$-0.6217 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2737 (29 markets)0/10
1/14 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 833% of peak ($1,025 / $123)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+40
Lottery Player
99% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

1
🎭 CULTURE#34,708$40Vol: $53,263

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,263
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
175B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $259
Week
$11
Vol: $649
Month
$63
Vol: $649
All Time
$40
Vol: $53,263

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
4%
1W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$40
Win Rate
4%
1W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$292
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $292 (7.36095717884131% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$292

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-870
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-60
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-60
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-23
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.272
Sortino
-0.250
HHI
2722
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.622
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.6%
Top-5 markets
84.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.7m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 252s — normal for humanCV 6.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)98.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)1.1%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 4:33:28 PM2 trades$1,1990 min
6/16/2026, 6:57:01 AM17 trades$5410 min
7/7/2026, 3:25:20 PM7 trades$4591 min
7/21/2026, 3:52:15 PM11 trades$1060 min
6/15/2026, 9:02:18 PM35 trades$3312 min
6/15/2026, 9:20:58 PM17 trades$2715 min
6/18/2026, 10:58:31 PM1 trades$260 min
6/14/2026, 12:58:16 PM1 trades$170 min
6/14/2026, 1:42:24 PM1 trades$170 min
6/22/2026, 3:13:37 PM1 trades$160 min
6/14/2026, 4:15:33 AM2 trades$120 min
6/15/2026, 10:14:34 PM1 trades$110 min
6/15/2026, 10:55:15 AM2 trades$90 min
6/14/2026, 10:40:00 PM10 trades$89 min
6/18/2026, 8:01:46 AM1 trades$80 min
6/15/2026, 5:36:46 PM4 trades$64 min
6/15/2026, 9:45:13 PM8 trades$63 min
6/14/2026, 10:51:40 AM1 trades$60 min
6/15/2026, 6:19:28 PM1 trades$50 min
6/15/2026, 3:15:09 PM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-13
06-15
06-17
06-22
07-07
08-02
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L98.9 / M0 / H1.1