@prediction141
#2,294,549160x60294c0582bf92746ab6d049ad9ed71db1f084b3
~10d· 65 markets · 278 tradesVol: $5,3592026-08-04 22:48:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (17/47)3.1/20
0.85x (win $35 / loss $41)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5780/15
Sortino -2.3170/10
$-0.0215 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1266 (47 markets)6.2/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($30 / $23)0/10
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,311,981$-28Vol: $4,788
⚽ SPORTS#1,398,125$-14Vol: $456
🏛️ POLITICS#415,466$0Vol: $85
🎭 CULTURE#392,656$-0Vol: $10
📈 ECONOMICS#356,555$-0Vol: $10
💰 FINANCE#215,221$0Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-41
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,359
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
128B / 150S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-41
Vol: $5,359
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
17W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-41
Win Rate
36%
17W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (0.5672115150036594% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Chicago Stars FC win on 2026-07-05?$13
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$7
Will Orlando Pride win on 2026-07-10?$3
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?$3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-05?$2
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-05?$1
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-05?$1
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$1
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-16?$1
Top Losers
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?$-4
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 9?$-4
Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 8?$-2
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$-2
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on July 8?$-2
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-08?$-2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on July 7?$-2
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-07?$-2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-2
Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-07-04?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
212
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
21.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
45s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 45s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule15 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.3%
High (>55c)76.6%
Sessions
#127/6/2026, 9:26:58 PM22 trades$3412 min
7/9/2026, 8:30:22 AM6 trades$2280 min
7/8/2026, 7:42:49 AM10 trades$2132 min
7/10/2026, 2:56:19 PM44 trades$2024 min
7/6/2026, 9:36:55 PM22 trades$1813 min
7/4/2026, 6:07:40 PM11 trades$793 min
7/4/2026, 6:41:10 PM12 trades$442 min
7/6/2026, 3:43:58 PM24 trades$3611 min
6/24/2026, 1:04:58 PM8 trades$293 min
7/4/2026, 6:16:32 PM34 trades$2615 min
6/24/2026, 2:06:19 PM10 trades$254 min
7/9/2026, 7:13:53 PM4 trades$240 min
7/4/2026, 9:42:31 PM2 trades$190 min
7/3/2026, 1:51:41 PM4 trades$152 min
7/4/2026, 5:37:55 PM4 trades$151 min
7/5/2026, 10:14:29 PM12 trades$158 min
6/22/2026, 11:59:23 AM3 trades$154 min
7/5/2026, 10:01:40 PM7 trades$133 min
6/24/2026, 2:16:35 PM4 trades$101 min
6/22/2026, 4:30:50 PM2 trades$101 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-24
07-04
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M13.3 / H76.6