@Upgradetime

#98,81030

0x604e43850248f9424f4129cb92966ac96e44f1cd

~230d· 503 markets · 1512 tradesVol: $66,1722026-08-05 18:35:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (287/497)13.9/20
0.84x (win $3,578 / loss $4,283)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1940/15
Sortino -1.3500/10
$-0.0270 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 206 (497 markets)10/10
112/206 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 352% of peak ($986 / $280)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+698
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#72,090$304Vol: $40,380
🏛️ POLITICS#145,312$16Vol: $8,102
CRYPTO#1,312,149$-28Vol: $4,996
🎭 CULTURE#20,495$102Vol: $4,184
📈 ECONOMICS#7,426$242Vol: $4,050
💰 FINANCE#25,051$54Vol: $1,690
📢 MENTIONS#161,915$-82Vol: $421
🌤️ WEATHER#200,401$-1Vol: $190
💻 TECH#237,722$-23Vol: $130

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$698
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$66,172
Total Redeem
$567
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
503
total markets
Trades
1150B / 362S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~230d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $36
Week
$11
Vol: $36
Month
$3
Vol: $61
All Time
$698
Vol: $66,172

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
287W / 210L events
Realized PnL
$698
Win Rate
58%
287W / 210L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $432 (0.6178218105287271% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$197
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$159
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$76
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?$63
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$62
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$54
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?$50

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-485
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-267
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)$-115
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5$-110
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5$-97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?$-90
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$-80
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-70
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$-63
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-61

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
267
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1396s — normal for humanCV 2.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)65.3%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 11:36:35 PM18 trades$2,52120 min
12/9/2025, 8:37:55 AM2 trades$1,3300 min
7/14/2026, 6:05:53 PM4 trades$9721 min
7/16/2026, 2:36:32 PM2 trades$8320 min
6/4/2026, 6:49:42 PM11 trades$8323 min
12/5/2025, 8:08:19 AM1 trades$6510 min
9/22/2025, 10:49:50 PM1 trades$5270 min
6/13/2026, 9:38:00 PM4 trades$3953 min
6/7/2026, 8:28:51 PM16 trades$3890 min
3/13/2026, 7:18:17 PM5 trades$37311 min
3/18/2026, 1:32:43 AM7 trades$3703 min
5/23/2026, 7:51:25 PM3 trades$3330 min
9/21/2025, 1:11:34 PM2 trades$3310 min
9/16/2025, 12:55:56 PM4 trades$2673 min
3/4/2026, 12:43:23 PM2 trades$2500 min
11/17/2025, 11:26:35 AM1 trades$2300 min
2/17/2026, 7:07:41 PM3 trades$2285 min
2/19/2026, 11:07:20 PM1 trades$2080 min
2/18/2026, 6:01:26 AM2 trades$2062 min
5/16/2026, 10:13:06 AM1 trades$2050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
10-11
12-11
02-25
04-07
05-19
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 231 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M22.4 / H65.3