@DemiMole

#260,5647

0x6061bb20d1a4fdb79b24d6d43297618176996813

~52d· 45 markets · 261 tradesVol: $14,8672026-08-05 16:37:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (5/30)0/20
0.86x (win $412 / loss $477)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7090/15
Sortino -1.4690/10
$-0.0557 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1343 (30 markets)5.8/10
4/21 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 122% of peak ($356 / $291)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+83
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#57,504$124Vol: $13,568
📈 ECONOMICS#645,396$-43Vol: $1,249
⚽ SPORTS#934,029$-1Vol: $26
💰 FINANCE#80,665$4Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$83
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,867
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
164B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $284
Month
$-2
Vol: $284
All Time
$83
Vol: $14,867

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
5W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$83
Win Rate
17%
5W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$82
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $403 (4.822789360172539% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$333
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$53
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$16
Will Italy win?$5
Will Trump say "Genius" during tech signing event on Wednesday?$4

Top Losers

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-156
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$-38
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?$-38
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$-33
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-33
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-30
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-17
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by April 30?$-16
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
821
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.9%
Top-5 markets
54.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1410s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.47
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)11%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 1:13:49 PM4 trades$4810 min
6/20/2026, 2:15:58 AM10 trades$2710 min
6/19/2026, 2:35:52 AM2 trades$2600 min
4/8/2026, 2:01:05 PM7 trades$1954 min
7/20/2026, 1:04:22 PM8 trades$1800 min
5/7/2026, 3:20:09 AM2 trades$1600 min
5/14/2026, 3:41:33 PM2 trades$1500 min
6/17/2026, 1:47:41 AM9 trades$1480 min
4/14/2026, 4:14:29 PM2 trades$1450 min
6/17/2026, 1:33:29 PM2 trades$1240 min
5/1/2026, 2:06:36 AM2 trades$1090 min
4/22/2026, 11:05:32 PM2 trades$990 min
7/20/2026, 12:37:09 PM3 trades$790 min
4/1/2026, 11:20:19 PM10 trades$781 min
5/10/2026, 6:48:42 PM6 trades$780 min
4/17/2026, 1:57:14 PM3 trades$740 min
3/4/2026, 1:19:39 PM8 trades$714 min
7/8/2026, 4:13:59 PM9 trades$560 min
6/16/2026, 12:33:57 AM1 trades$510 min
4/14/2026, 6:19:42 PM2 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-02
03-08
03-30
04-23
04-29
05-09
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 81 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.47/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.3 / M6.7 / H11