ChatFinance

@ChatFinance

#2,959,38128

0x6087d1cf398c22eb2070a266cf371cb0e93153c2

~160d· 924 markets · 2315 tradesVol: $124,958 @chatfinances2026-08-04 16:21:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (471/878)11.8/20
0.80x (win $2,745 / loss $3,452)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3120/15
Sortino -1.5490/10
$-0.0096 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 292 (878 markets)10/10
54/98 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 6820% of peak ($1,002 / $15)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$73,716 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,616,955$-986Vol: $68,471
💰 FINANCE#654,419$-755Vol: $18,371
📈 ECONOMICS#5,588$382Vol: $13,588
🏛️ POLITICS#65,577$96Vol: $8,856
SPORTS#1,481,218$-23Vol: $6,368
🎭 CULTURE#60,300$13Vol: $5,446
💻 TECH#246,820$-72Vol: $3,461
📢 MENTIONS#118,072$-6Vol: $392

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,351
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$124,958
Total Redeem
$345
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
924
total markets
Trades
1995B / 320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~160d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $24
Week
$-18
Vol: $1,116
Month
$-11
Vol: $1,648
All Time
$-1,351
Vol: $124,958

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
471W / 407L events
Realized PnL
$-1,351
Win Rate
54%
471W / 407L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $537 (0.39761042883475095% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$260
Ethereum above $3,000 on July 18?$148
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$129
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$121
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $8B and $9B at market close on IPO day?$97
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$94
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$77
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 25?$67
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$45

Top Losers

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$-542
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $-500
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October?$-415
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by January 31?$-170
Will 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$-110
TikTok sale announced by September 30?$-96
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?$-85
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3000 on July 13 at 5PM ET?$-65
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 19?$-59
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3000 and $3100 on July 14 at 5PM ET?$-58

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.068
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
239
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
21.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 212s — normal for humanCV 5.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)39.8%
High (>55c)51.5%

Sessions

#12
9/17/2025, 5:21:10 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
9/17/2025, 5:26:58 PM1 trades$4,9470 min
6/30/2026, 3:26:31 AM19 trades$3,2516 min
12/30/2025, 10:09:13 PM5 trades$1,4725 min
9/17/2025, 7:16:30 PM3 trades$1,4706 min
7/4/2026, 11:08:46 PM131 trades$1,3740 min
1/20/2026, 5:55:12 AM3 trades$1,2091 min
1/25/2026, 8:55:58 PM1 trades$1,1730 min
1/25/2026, 1:10:04 AM1 trades$1,1720 min
2/5/2026, 7:58:51 PM1 trades$1,1590 min
1/22/2026, 7:43:58 PM1 trades$1,1570 min
2/8/2026, 1:31:11 PM1 trades$1,1200 min
2/8/2026, 3:48:49 PM1 trades$1,1020 min
7/4/2026, 11:28:26 PM1 trades$1,0390 min
1/23/2026, 10:12:38 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/8/2026, 7:08:43 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/27/2026, 1:22:23 AM1 trades$9990 min
9/17/2025, 2:39:02 PM1 trades$9980 min
2/11/2026, 6:08:31 PM1 trades$9750 min
12/31/2025, 6:59:39 AM1 trades$9580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
09-25
11-15
12-16
01-17
02-11
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 349 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M39.8 / H51.5