@whichtopick
#2,921,59480x60981c80496a113d5dac9965569d6b848a32c419
~28d· 88 markets · 474 tradesVol: $189,8112026-08-04 17:19:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
18% (15/85)0/20
0.95x (win $4,987 / loss $5,251)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2610/15
Sortino -0.7090/10
$-0.0243 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1211 (85 markets)6.4/10
5/23 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 95372% of peak ($3,958 / $4)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,850$-1,937Vol: $165,325
💰 FINANCE#2,442$1,921Vol: $14,053
📢 MENTIONS#174,147$-660Vol: $5,303
₿ CRYPTO#1,390,706$-51Vol: $2,596
📈 ECONOMICS#643,938$-40Vol: $1,500
⚽ SPORTS#1,741,813$-205Vol: $1,034
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-972
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,811
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
288B / 186S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
18%
15W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-972
Win Rate
18%
15W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$332
Avg Loss
$-76
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,796 (4.936182476943346% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?$3,690
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$769
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$337
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$57
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?$28
Islanders vs. Ducks$27
Sabres vs. Penguins$23
Top Losers
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-733
Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-409
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?$-353
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?$-332
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$-250
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?$-241
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$-228
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?$-199
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?$-158
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?$-156
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
868
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.3%
Top-5 markets
44.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.07
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)64.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)12.2%
Sessions
#125/21/2026, 12:06:16 PM13 trades$5,1792 min
5/27/2026, 12:22:39 AM12 trades$3,7221 min
5/18/2026, 8:09:18 PM21 trades$2,5105 min
7/29/2026, 8:05:36 PM47 trades$2,3861 min
7/30/2026, 6:17:05 AM2 trades$1,8610 min
2/27/2026, 3:15:11 PM1 trades$1,2240 min
3/3/2026, 11:51:41 PM12 trades$1,03715 min
2/25/2026, 5:22:14 PM5 trades$9982 min
7/30/2026, 6:56:51 AM6 trades$9671 min
6/14/2026, 6:57:07 PM5 trades$6853 min
6/14/2026, 6:15:33 PM21 trades$6325 min
2/25/2026, 2:44:22 AM7 trades$4686 min
2/25/2026, 2:23:46 AM3 trades$4344 min
3/2/2026, 10:09:31 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/2/2026, 10:19:03 PM4 trades$3855 min
3/2/2026, 7:15:43 AM1 trades$3770 min
3/2/2026, 2:27:29 PM6 trades$2913 min
3/1/2026, 8:23:39 PM4 trades$2560 min
2/28/2026, 6:17:43 AM3 trades$2520 min
3/5/2026, 2:57:25 AM10 trades$2505 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
02-19
02-22
02-25
03-02
03-05
05-18
06-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 117 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.07/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L64.2 / M23.6 / H12.2