@PolyEGG
#2,933,447590x60a82a9abb8fed5a860bbd7bf74941316c7d7d37
~74d· 1032 markets · 20353 tradesVol: $404,4262026-08-04 21:11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (396/738)11.8/20
1.26x (win $32,194 / loss $25,585)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.02315/15
Sortino 3.59010/10
$+0.0541 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 210 (738 markets)10/10
29/71 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($12,187 / $18,786)1/10
Badges
5DCA Master
Avg 29.1 entries/market
Whale
$122,071 invested
High Roller
$1,650/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,544,419$-142Vol: $294,930
⚽ SPORTS#1,732,357$-183Vol: $26,529
💰 FINANCE#629,914$-90Vol: $25,347
📈 ECONOMICS#9,178$169Vol: $20,521
🎭 CULTURE#801,464$-324Vol: $17,712
₿ CRYPTO#216,708$13Vol: $7,443
💻 TECH#255,481$-405Vol: $5,349
📢 MENTIONS#156,916$-51Vol: $2,231
🌤️ WEATHER#272,477$-39Vol: $626
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,054
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$404,426
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1032
total markets
Trades
13130B / 7223S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$-196
Vol: $3,884
Week
$-109
Vol: $13,846
Month
$-463
Vol: $19,930
All Time
$-1,054
Vol: $404,426
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
393W / 342L events
Realized PnL
$-1,054
Win Rate
53%
393W / 342L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-79
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,430 (16.53490931167944% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14,007
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$1,717
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,707
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$840
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$592
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$571
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$526
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$491
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$419
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$382
Top Losers
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-1,859
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-1,072
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$-998
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-776
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-676
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-629
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$-585
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-566
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-553
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-536
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.180
HHI
171
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
8.6%
Half-Kelly
4.3%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
23.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
275.0
Very active
Markets / Day
13.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.4m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
40 min
Avg Trades / Session
95.5
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 99s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock275 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
29.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)63.8%
Sessions
#126/14/2026, 9:05:51 PM475 trades$4,089122 min
7/9/2026, 4:35:22 AM4 trades$2,5001 min
6/14/2026, 5:57:25 PM299 trades$2,45291 min
7/3/2026, 4:49:20 PM58 trades$1,97024 min
7/11/2026, 10:39:46 PM9 trades$1,7531 min
6/15/2026, 3:18:15 PM163 trades$1,73564 min
6/13/2026, 6:04:43 PM177 trades$1,67192 min
6/17/2026, 9:14:55 PM244 trades$1,61776 min
6/17/2026, 12:38:49 AM175 trades$1,61065 min
6/13/2026, 4:45:28 PM122 trades$1,34359 min
6/16/2026, 9:14:38 PM162 trades$1,23570 min
6/14/2026, 10:33:27 AM7 trades$1,1162 min
6/13/2026, 8:22:48 PM38 trades$1,09727 min
8/2/2026, 2:06:14 AM121 trades$1,04846 min
6/17/2026, 5:02:41 PM115 trades$99348 min
7/6/2026, 10:04:01 AM7 trades$9268 min
6/17/2026, 2:34:13 AM185 trades$88269 min
6/13/2026, 2:03:57 PM111 trades$88232 min
7/3/2026, 12:17:44 AM18 trades$8819 min
6/16/2026, 11:38:55 PM98 trades$87652 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-04
06-15
06-26
07-07
07-19
07-30
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.9 / M21.3 / H63.8