@happy3000

#29,8039

0x60ada61389b9798843184f5d0942abb877cb23c5

~32d· 191 markets · 1079 tradesVol: $139,2692026-08-04 15:06:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (64/185)2.3/20
0.85x (win $1,798 / loss $2,121)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0170/15
Sortino -2.7890/10
$-0.0095 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2483 (185 markets)0.1/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 1223% of peak ($1,088 / $89)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+4,082
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#7,121$4,206Vol: $127,291
🌤️ WEATHER#263,616$-23Vol: $7,547
₿ CRYPTO#1,457,348$-93Vol: $4,010
⚽ SPORTS#472,965$0Vol: $211
🎭 CULTURE#80,057$7Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,091
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
191
total markets
Trades
725B / 354S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$10
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $0
Month
$40
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,091
Vol: $139,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
64W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$4,082
Win Rate
35%
64W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $861 (0.2109367535187975% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$567
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$144
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$90
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$72
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$39
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 21?$32
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$23

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-415
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-377
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$-142
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-121
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-111
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-81
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.101
Sortino
-0.155
HHI
1261
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.7%
Top-5 markets
52.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 264s — normal for humanCV 4.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.8 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.09
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)43.7%

Sessions

#12
7/31/2026, 7:55:36 PM40 trades$8,47212 min
7/31/2026, 3:01:18 AM14 trades$6,7400 min
7/1/2026, 3:02:53 AM1 trades$3,4120 min
7/1/2026, 8:24:07 AM6 trades$2,4080 min
6/16/2026, 6:53:01 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/30/2026, 3:19:41 AM40 trades$1,6954 min
6/22/2026, 9:22:16 AM2 trades$1,5380 min
6/3/2026, 5:04:13 PM1 trades$1,2530 min
5/28/2026, 4:15:13 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/30/2026, 10:10:38 AM1 trades$9950 min
7/1/2026, 1:51:44 AM1 trades$9950 min
6/11/2026, 5:38:16 PM4 trades$9921 min
7/16/2026, 11:53:38 AM13 trades$9905 min
6/30/2026, 6:31:55 PM1 trades$9000 min
6/9/2026, 9:00:12 AM8 trades$8571 min
7/1/2026, 8:44:55 AM1 trades$8540 min
5/28/2026, 8:13:18 PM1 trades$8400 min
6/3/2026, 4:19:15 PM8 trades$8350 min
6/9/2026, 1:10:15 PM1 trades$7800 min
6/16/2026, 2:21:49 AM32 trades$7625 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-30
06-11
06-14
06-16
06-18
06-21
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M39.9 / H43.7