@smaugvision
#3,071,65230x60df9c9dd2116c0eec4f3994eccacf0d7fb8a69e
~8d· 11 markets · 159 tradesVol: $383,2432026-08-04 15:05:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (2/10)0/20
0.03x (win $1,284 / loss $41,052)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.7129 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2553 (10 markets)0/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($41,002 / $0)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Whale
$55,783 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,193$-40,258Vol: $328,643
⚽ SPORTS#1,877,963$-11,452Vol: $54,600
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-51,709
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$383,243
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
132B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-51,709
Vol: $383,243
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
20%
2W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-51,709
Win Rate
20%
2W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$642
Avg Loss
$-6,842
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,284 (0.024839154282898557% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$929
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$355
Top Losers
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$-20,476
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$-10,233
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-9,006
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$-1,160
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$-127
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-50
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.568
Sortino
-0.495
HHI
1983
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.858
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.7%
Top-5 markets
79%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.9m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 324s — normal for humanCV 2.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)70.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)27.3%
Sessions
#1212/9/2025, 8:14:37 AM3 trades$8,9242 min
12/8/2025, 9:07:19 AM12 trades$8,3369 min
12/8/2025, 10:34:09 AM3 trades$6,3932 min
12/8/2025, 8:49:05 AM8 trades$5,3327 min
7/10/2026, 5:57:04 AM9 trades$5,0331 min
7/16/2026, 5:09:08 AM1 trades$4,3380 min
12/8/2025, 12:27:39 PM5 trades$3,48610 min
12/8/2025, 9:32:31 AM3 trades$3,2844 min
7/10/2026, 9:44:56 AM1 trades$3,1070 min
7/13/2026, 7:28:01 PM19 trades$2,1540 min
7/17/2026, 9:44:24 AM1 trades$1,2970 min
7/10/2026, 7:14:58 AM5 trades$9485 min
12/9/2025, 5:11:27 AM2 trades$8614 min
12/9/2025, 9:13:50 PM1 trades$7460 min
12/9/2025, 3:05:24 PM3 trades$5115 min
7/11/2026, 2:02:58 PM2 trades$5000 min
12/8/2025, 9:46:37 AM4 trades$4499 min
7/16/2026, 4:58:37 AM2 trades$4432 min
12/8/2025, 9:28:11 PM3 trades$4056 min
12/8/2025, 11:30:53 PM1 trades$4000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-08
12-09
07-10
07-11
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.5 / M2.3 / H27.3