@rickybailey

#2,191,82515

0x61065486bff7534202c8e9ef4cf9f99ab2debfe0

~28d· 25 markets · 38 tradesVol: $23,1422026-08-04 23:35:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (12/25)9/20
0.13x (win $4 / loss $33)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.8130/15
Sortino -5.6760/10
$-0.0050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5487 (25 markets)0/10
12/23 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($29 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,419,438$-15Vol: $22,784
₿ CRYPTO#1,194,433$-13Vol: $271
📈 ECONOMICS#323,734$-0Vol: $56
💰 FINANCE#265,394$0Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,142
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
25B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-29
Vol: $23,142

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
12W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-29
Win Rate
48%
12W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (0.14775910364145659% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ripple above $3.15 on January 31?$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?$0
Will Solana reach $240 in November?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K August 25–31?$0
Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30?$0
Will BNB dip to $300 in June?$0
Will Dogecoin reach $0.28 in April?$0
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$0

Top Losers

XRP above $2.10 on June 27?$-17
Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?$-8
Manchester United wins the Premier League?$-6
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?$-0
Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-0
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$-0
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?$-0
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.298
Sortino
-0.218
HHI
5303
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
34.2%
Half-Kelly
17.1%
Top-1 market
68.9%
Top-5 markets
94%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 618s — normal for humanCV 3.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)92%

Sessions

#12
3/15/2025, 8:50:23 AM1 trades$3,9010 min
3/15/2025, 9:06:35 AM1 trades$3,8930 min
4/13/2025, 3:34:53 PM1 trades$1,3280 min
4/13/2025, 3:45:11 PM1 trades$1,3270 min
1/8/2025, 5:47:29 AM2 trades$661 min
1/19/2025, 2:31:33 AM2 trades$365 min
1/20/2025, 9:40:47 PM1 trades$280 min
1/20/2025, 10:33:49 PM1 trades$280 min
1/23/2025, 1:48:53 AM1 trades$270 min
1/28/2025, 3:23:34 AM1 trades$270 min
4/16/2025, 3:31:11 PM1 trades$270 min
4/16/2025, 3:43:49 PM1 trades$270 min
5/9/2025, 7:56:08 PM1 trades$260 min
5/12/2025, 7:26:08 AM1 trades$250 min
5/28/2026, 1:14:37 PM2 trades$250 min
1/13/2025, 8:15:25 AM1 trades$250 min
4/28/2025, 12:53:42 PM1 trades$220 min
5/28/2025, 7:50:07 AM1 trades$180 min
6/27/2025, 6:56:51 AM1 trades$170 min
8/31/2025, 4:24:08 AM1 trades$170 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
01-28
02-26
04-13
05-12
07-29
10-26
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M4 / H92