@0x61d8…b596
250x61d8b8ab7f9869c614400bbf329e002b53d7b596
~39d· 121 markets · 283 trades2026-08-05 00:12:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (61/120)10.4/20
0.83x (win $5,747 / loss $6,956)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9070/15
Sortino -3.1730/10
$-0.0923 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 121 (120 markets)10/10
17/37 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 647% of peak ($1,430 / $221)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,191
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,100
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
174B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
61W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-1,191
Win Rate
51%
61W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$94
Avg Loss
$-120
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $823 (0.6915375246734702% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$300
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays$282
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$242
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$208
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$192
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies$192
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$185
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$184
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$180
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$176
Top Losers
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?$-711
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-334
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Italy$-244
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox$-204
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians$-203
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-202
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-202
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-201
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$-201
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees$-201
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.092
Kelly %
1.3%
Half-Kelly
0.6%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
15.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1380s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)52.9%
High (>55c)46.6%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 2:58:19 AM10 trades$9068 min
3/29/2026, 3:32:18 AM2 trades$6670 min
3/31/2026, 5:20:19 PM2 trades$5150 min
6/8/2026, 10:25:33 PM9 trades$4176 min
6/12/2026, 10:34:36 PM9 trades$3811 min
6/5/2026, 10:31:43 PM7 trades$3494 min
3/26/2026, 1:31:33 AM1 trades$3210 min
3/6/2026, 8:01:01 PM3 trades$2972 min
6/18/2026, 6:56:19 PM2 trades$2650 min
3/3/2026, 4:46:29 AM2 trades$2551 min
6/18/2026, 8:15:01 PM2 trades$2540 min
3/27/2026, 8:27:45 PM1 trades$2510 min
3/7/2026, 11:16:23 PM3 trades$2504 min
6/17/2026, 10:50:55 PM2 trades$2500 min
3/10/2026, 11:22:29 PM1 trades$2440 min
3/4/2026, 9:36:15 PM2 trades$2250 min
6/20/2026, 2:10:37 AM2 trades$2100 min
6/5/2026, 6:20:28 PM4 trades$2080 min
6/20/2026, 5:30:56 PM2 trades$2050 min
6/5/2026, 1:38:39 AM2 trades$2040 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-05
03-11
03-30
06-12
06-21
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 119 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M52.9 / H46.6