@Geminae.Columbae
#8,074230x61ea83757d03ad51fb01bcedc7f69d623960bbf7
~157d· 91 markets · 2367 tradesVol: $1,399,8062026-08-04 23:40:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (27/79)2.1/20
1.05x (win $186,806 / loss $177,492)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2023.8/15
Sortino 0.2932.9/10
$+0.0272 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 648 (79 markets)9.3/10
20/60 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($154,490 / $107,910)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+19,424
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Whale
$342,786 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,938$23,602Vol: $1,223,277
📈 ECONOMICS#681,804$-3,407Vol: $166,159
₿ CRYPTO#1,606,521$-727Vol: $8,200
🌤️ WEATHER#262,042$-21Vol: $808
💰 FINANCE#582,069$-13Vol: $800
🎭 CULTURE#679,833$-9Vol: $563
Overview
#1Net PnL
$19,424
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,399,806
Total Redeem
$24,585
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
1473B / 894S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d
Periods
#2Today
$221
Vol: $6,196
Week
$289
Vol: $6,877
Month
$500
Vol: $6,877
All Time
$19,424
Vol: $1,399,806
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
27W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$19,424
Win Rate
34%
27W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$6,919
Avg Loss
$-3,480
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $99,644 (5.129843506589116% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$51,321
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$27,590
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$20,734
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$17,777
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12,061
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9,998
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$9,955
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$8,403
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$6,922
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?$5,516
Top Losers
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-51,824
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-38,195
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-35,557
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-23,400
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-12,176
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-4,962
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?$-1,509
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-1,449
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-1,280
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$-1,225
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.011
Sortino
0.013
HHI
1350
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.3%
Top-5 markets
71.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 238s — normal for humanCV 5.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
30.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32%
Mid (20-55c)38.6%
High (>55c)29.3%
Sessions
#124/13/2026, 4:56:53 PM26 trades$61,9280 min
4/9/2026, 8:02:31 PM42 trades$32,91910 min
4/6/2026, 6:42:21 PM7 trades$23,0635 min
4/21/2026, 10:17:50 AM24 trades$22,0372 min
4/15/2026, 4:10:20 PM18 trades$19,7787 min
4/2/2026, 8:38:59 PM25 trades$14,4590 min
4/9/2026, 8:25:27 PM28 trades$13,7253 min
6/9/2026, 11:33:45 PM3 trades$13,4334 min
4/6/2026, 9:52:07 PM44 trades$12,97424 min
4/5/2026, 3:15:43 AM3 trades$12,5881 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:09 PM2 trades$12,0181 min
6/10/2026, 2:16:18 PM9 trades$10,8190 min
4/8/2026, 2:30:27 AM42 trades$9,9692 min
4/21/2026, 10:07:44 AM11 trades$9,3251 min
4/6/2026, 2:33:35 PM2 trades$7,7980 min
4/7/2026, 12:23:51 PM28 trades$7,66915 min
6/25/2026, 6:50:14 PM22 trades$7,5780 min
7/7/2026, 2:02:04 PM12 trades$7,4280 min
4/24/2026, 5:32:34 PM18 trades$7,2900 min
4/14/2026, 12:14:15 PM10 trades$7,0157 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-19
09-19
02-11
01-13
03-12
04-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.43/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32 / M38.6 / H29.3