@weatherbonder

#204,95140

0x620cc87c0f821c8b2aa17d70ce99030124576967

~50d· 1160 markets · 2170 tradesVol: $108,255 @TurkeyStasyan2026-08-04 18:55:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (986/1160)20/20
0.79x (win $79 / loss $100)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5860/15
Sortino -0.5960/10
$-0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 30 (1160 markets)10/10
48/49 profitable days (98%)10/10
Max DD 3806% of peak ($97 / $3)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+137
Whale
$50,818 invested
Consistent
48/49 profitable days
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#7,753$85Vol: $99,277
🎭 CULTURE#29,892$52Vol: $8,978

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$137
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$108,255
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1160
total markets
Trades
1598B / 572S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $2,100
Month
$6
Vol: $2,766
All Time
$137
Vol: $108,255

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
986W / 174L events
Realized PnL
$137
Win Rate
85%
986W / 174L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (0.10330759143231824% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$11
Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?$2
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 17?$2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 15?$2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 6?$1
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14?$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June 12?$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on July 19?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-430.816
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
5.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.8
Active
Markets / Day
14.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.3m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 367s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency14 markets/day — mass coverage74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.87
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 12:05:04 PM12 trades$1,0333 min
7/13/2026, 3:59:17 PM4 trades$8113 min
6/27/2026, 12:06:23 AM3 trades$7491 min
7/31/2026, 10:11:27 PM4 trades$7280 min
6/16/2026, 9:48:40 PM5 trades$7113 min
7/26/2026, 11:24:31 AM12 trades$7073 min
6/29/2026, 4:30:17 PM6 trades$6450 min
7/14/2026, 3:14:08 PM2 trades$5990 min
6/19/2026, 4:27:20 PM4 trades$5893 min
7/11/2026, 4:55:32 AM3 trades$5253 min
7/6/2026, 4:17:10 AM7 trades$5000 min
6/10/2026, 6:54:46 AM36 trades$4648 min
6/16/2026, 11:00:05 PM7 trades$4393 min
6/17/2026, 4:20:37 PM29 trades$43411 min
6/9/2026, 3:07:04 PM8 trades$4330 min
6/6/2026, 4:35:54 PM12 trades$4058 min
7/19/2026, 3:04:43 AM5 trades$4030 min
6/19/2026, 4:55:34 AM3 trades$4000 min
6/21/2026, 12:09:55 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/30/2026, 3:24:04 AM3 trades$4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
06-05
06-13
06-21
06-30
07-13
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100