bergmann2312

@bergmann2312

#2,043,95248

0x6234af317130f757595c85e1d4ec31da42e253e7

~20d· 81 markets · 171 tradesVol: $3,0812026-08-04 15:07:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (35/72)9.3/20
1.05x (win $92 / loss $88)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.67412.6/15
Sortino 1.14510/10
$+0.0178 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1012 (72 markets)7.4/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($21 / $25)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#670,283$-7Vol: $1,255
CRYPTO#251,113$8Vol: $654
SPORTS#310,877$7Vol: $511
🏛️ POLITICS#1,330,870$-15Vol: $444
💰 FINANCE#578,802$-12Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,081
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
109B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-18
Vol: $3,081

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
35W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
49%
35W / 37L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43 (2.3402399127589963% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-04?$19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 19?$14
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$10
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?$6
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?$6
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)$4
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06?$3
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 19?$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 20?$2

Top Losers

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?$-11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?$-5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?$-5
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?$-5
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?$-5
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?$-5
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-4
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.071
HHI
181
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
20.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.72
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)34.9%

Sessions

#12
7/21/2026, 11:45:51 AM2 trades$1250 min
7/21/2026, 12:26:27 AM34 trades$1235 min
12/19/2025, 3:56:42 PM3 trades$251 min
2/4/2026, 9:29:53 PM5 trades$192 min
12/20/2025, 12:00:01 AM4 trades$186 min
12/22/2025, 4:24:09 PM1 trades$130 min
2/6/2026, 10:20:27 AM7 trades$127 min
7/21/2026, 1:07:37 PM6 trades$120 min
2/26/2026, 2:16:20 PM1 trades$110 min
2/26/2026, 11:31:20 AM2 trades$111 min
2/5/2026, 8:24:05 PM3 trades$101 min
2/6/2026, 3:06:49 PM2 trades$100 min
2/17/2026, 7:59:55 AM2 trades$100 min
2/18/2026, 3:09:46 PM2 trades$102 min
2/20/2026, 10:00:54 AM2 trades$100 min
2/5/2026, 9:49:03 PM2 trades$80 min
12/21/2025, 10:46:23 AM3 trades$74 min
12/18/2025, 9:52:25 PM2 trades$62 min
12/19/2025, 1:15:33 AM2 trades$61 min
12/20/2025, 12:13:57 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-18
12-21
12-29
02-02
02-05
02-18
02-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 153 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.9 / M31.2 / H34.9