@littlepo

#187,87172

0x628227f9aaf1d5dd40151315d6350d4060bb3ea8

~160d· 282 markets · 973 tradesVol: $78,1602026-08-04 22:59:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (220/273)20/20
1.23x (win $5,778 / loss $4,690)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.19615/15
Sortino 1.72610/10
$+0.0221 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 121 (273 markets)10/10
83/115 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($1,963 / $1,769)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+168
Consistent
83/115 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#5,779$627Vol: $40,537
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,619$-530Vol: $11,839
📈 ECONOMICS#5,439$401Vol: $10,884
💻 TECH#253,834$-241Vol: $8,796
SPORTS#1,715,260$-147Vol: $2,888
CRYPTO#108,364$76Vol: $2,102
🎭 CULTURE#772,156$-72Vol: $827
📢 MENTIONS#8,618$55Vol: $289

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$168
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,160
Total Redeem
$242
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
694B / 279S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~160d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $850
Week
$39
Vol: $1,150
Month
$67
Vol: $1,714
All Time
$168
Vol: $78,160

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
220W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$168
Win Rate
81%
220W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,295 (7.705609422401999% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$503
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $425
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$368
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$267
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$235
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?$167
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$164
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$131
Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?$128
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$123

Top Losers

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-366
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-330
US government shutdown Saturday?$-320
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-280
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-280
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$-250
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?$-245
US government shutdown in 2025?$-182
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-181
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$-179

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.062
Sortino
0.058
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 704s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)89.6%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 3:03:14 PM1 trades$1,8970 min
6/14/2026, 8:51:48 AM5 trades$1,1264 min
1/1/2026, 9:02:29 AM6 trades$9785 min
9/24/2025, 7:06:48 AM4 trades$8673 min
12/2/2025, 4:07:16 PM1 trades$7360 min
6/24/2026, 1:07:22 AM9 trades$7339 min
5/16/2026, 11:26:08 AM8 trades$6720 min
6/3/2026, 10:23:13 AM7 trades$6170 min
12/1/2025, 8:34:52 AM3 trades$6157 min
11/1/2025, 2:01:05 AM5 trades$6007 min
12/11/2025, 12:15:05 PM3 trades$5966 min
5/16/2026, 11:19:43 AM10 trades$5871 min
10/30/2025, 5:43:23 PM1 trades$5780 min
5/17/2026, 7:24:59 AM10 trades$5586 min
9/19/2025, 3:42:08 PM4 trades$5531 min
10/31/2025, 2:25:41 AM3 trades$5502 min
1/3/2026, 5:07:55 AM4 trades$5404 min
9/23/2025, 2:15:54 AM3 trades$5241 min
1/17/2026, 2:03:16 PM5 trades$5157 min
2/2/2026, 10:05:56 AM2 trades$5001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
08-15
10-07
12-02
01-11
03-25
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M6.5 / H89.6