@ArdillarRabiossa

#2,636,9464

0x6293cbc9f79b2d1573eaffc7afbe2a4e6b47d14d

~29d· 66 markets · 397 tradesVol: $87,8712026-08-05 17:39:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (5/64)0/20
0.09x (win $39 / loss $426)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.4580/15
Sortino -11.0740/10
$-0.6101 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1739 (64 markets)3.8/10
1/25 profitable days (4%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($387 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#778,777$-88Vol: $71,598
💻 TECH#243,940$-48Vol: $13,605
🏛️ POLITICS#714,471$-0Vol: $1,807
₿ CRYPTO#911,643$-2Vol: $568
⚽ SPORTS#982,501$-1Vol: $230

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-138
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$87,871
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
327B / 70S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-138
Vol: $87,871

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
5W / 59L events
Realized PnL
$-138
Win Rate
8%
5W / 59L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (0.26132328429596346% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$9
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$6
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-73
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-35
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$-23
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$-21
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$-20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.690
Sortino
-0.705
HHI
307
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.698
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
29.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 970s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.17
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)28.7%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 3:24:46 PM5 trades$5455 min
6/15/2026, 9:15:45 PM10 trades$54211 min
6/16/2026, 12:28:30 AM6 trades$5264 min
7/9/2026, 10:10:34 AM3 trades$2300 min
6/29/2026, 12:53:58 PM3 trades$1290 min
6/15/2026, 6:51:06 PM7 trades$1067 min
7/3/2026, 3:14:49 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 5:14:36 PM2 trades$670 min
6/29/2026, 4:41:25 PM3 trades$580 min
7/7/2026, 9:30:04 AM2 trades$340 min
7/6/2026, 6:26:29 PM2 trades$330 min
6/29/2026, 1:00:32 PM5 trades$305 min
6/29/2026, 2:00:58 PM2 trades$290 min
7/7/2026, 3:49:40 PM2 trades$250 min
6/15/2026, 1:39:01 PM10 trades$225 min
7/2/2026, 7:06:26 PM2 trades$170 min
7/3/2026, 2:25:13 PM3 trades$163 min
7/2/2026, 12:21:16 PM4 trades$152 min
6/14/2026, 5:33:36 PM10 trades$155 min
6/16/2026, 2:08:37 PM11 trades$146 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-18
06-29
07-03
07-07
07-11
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.17/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.9 / M3.4 / H28.7