@win-at-all-cost

#11,33047

0x62ad81eddc36cc1e26234c908a69277bce9779fc

~54d· 2336 markets · 23731 tradesVol: $1,409,0002026-08-04 21:13:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (1527/1852)20/20
1.01x (win $157,988 / loss $156,029)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3436.4/15
Sortino 0.4674.7/10
$+0.0021 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 80 (1852 markets)10/10
21/49 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 118% of peak ($11,370 / $9,670)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+13,297
DCA Master
Avg 16.6 entries/market
Whale
$928,320 invested
High Roller
$9,013/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#6,387$703Vol: $418,546
SPORTS#4,165$13,452Vol: $406,784
🏛️ POLITICS#24,917$583Vol: $250,083
📈 ECONOMICS#2,246$1,633Vol: $159,828
💰 FINANCE#657,144$-3,099Vol: $149,823
🌤️ WEATHER#281,228$-73Vol: $6,032
💻 TECH#51,201$1Vol: $54

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,293
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,409,000
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2336
total markets
Trades
12099B / 11632S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$48
Vol: $0
Week
$-54
Vol: $0
Month
$-383
Vol: $0
All Time
$13,293
Vol: $1,409,000

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
1527W / 325L events
Realized PnL
$13,297
Win Rate
82%
1527W / 325L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-538

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44,339 (3.334431289030069% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$23,319
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$11,184
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$9,837
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6,783
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6,646
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5,998
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5,113
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$4,106
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3,569
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$3,200

Top Losers

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-43,282
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-17,194
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$-11,418
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-5,611
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-5,160
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-4,600
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-3,914
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-3,531
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-3,294
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2,809

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.018
Sortino
0.019
HHI
161
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
230.4
Very active
Markets / Day
22.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.3m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
171.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock230 trades/day — automation23 markets/day — mass coverage49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)88.1%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 10:14:55 PM947 trades$42,09245 min
5/16/2026, 6:14:25 PM568 trades$35,45252 min
5/4/2026, 12:32:36 PM196 trades$25,3029 min
4/24/2026, 2:15:12 PM184 trades$20,14715 min
4/21/2026, 1:42:22 AM282 trades$17,56623 min
5/16/2026, 3:45:29 PM457 trades$17,32628 min
5/16/2026, 9:25:59 PM545 trades$16,22233 min
5/16/2026, 3:27:14 PM257 trades$16,1517 min
4/20/2026, 11:45:00 PM270 trades$15,7739 min
5/16/2026, 12:14:25 PM165 trades$12,8402 min
4/20/2026, 6:06:16 PM257 trades$12,54125 min
4/23/2026, 11:50:22 PM176 trades$11,70932 min
4/21/2026, 6:08:28 AM160 trades$11,57110 min
4/20/2026, 8:09:56 PM275 trades$11,34313 min
5/4/2026, 12:47:56 PM87 trades$10,7367 min
5/16/2026, 12:22:22 AM91 trades$10,5481 min
4/24/2026, 1:57:38 PM119 trades$10,27311 min
5/16/2026, 7:16:53 PM177 trades$10,2507 min
4/20/2026, 7:12:48 AM110 trades$9,9329 min
5/16/2026, 1:07:24 AM107 trades$9,7251 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
04-27
05-05
05-19
06-02
06-15
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.6 / M8.3 / H88.1