@alexman898

#2,222,55047

0x62b5bcbd9706da82176bd6f4a7a87bef73f07a8e

~4d· 73 markets · 522 tradesVol: $11,8612026-08-04 22:40:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (11/73)0/20
2.35x (win $493 / loss $209)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.3414 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 769 (73 markets)8.7/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($119 / $398)8/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 30%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,271,804$-21Vol: $8,408
🌤️ WEATHER#254,245$-15Vol: $3,435
SPORTS#347,384$4Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,861
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
233B / 289S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~4d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
11W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-32
Win Rate
15%
11W / 62L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $313 (9.919201520912548% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$184
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$32
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 25?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?$10

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$-62
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$-16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$-6
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 25?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 25?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 25?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.309
Sortino
0.893
HHI
1195
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.341
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.9%
Top-5 markets
65%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.6
Very active
Markets / Day
10.4
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule75 trades/day — mass trading10 markets/day — mass coverage45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.2%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)22.3%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 7:15:31 PM37 trades$4174 min
6/25/2026, 6:36:53 AM193 trades$28216 min
6/25/2026, 7:50:37 PM24 trades$2473 min
6/25/2026, 7:05:28 PM25 trades$1502 min
6/25/2026, 11:36:02 AM77 trades$1505 min
6/25/2026, 6:00:26 PM11 trades$1312 min
6/26/2026, 5:52:41 AM22 trades$1287 min
6/25/2026, 6:25:17 PM16 trades$1153 min
6/25/2026, 12:40:28 PM12 trades$822 min
6/25/2026, 12:10:31 PM21 trades$763 min
6/26/2026, 7:44:16 AM14 trades$670 min
6/26/2026, 6:10:37 AM14 trades$564 min
6/26/2026, 6:57:35 AM10 trades$511 min
6/26/2026, 6:51:26 AM12 trades$490 min
6/24/2026, 12:40:29 AM14 trades$212 min
6/25/2026, 8:31:28 AM8 trades$151 min
6/24/2026, 12:14:10 AM6 trades$153 min
6/24/2026, 12:06:50 AM2 trades$50 min
6/24/2026, 12:23:02 AM2 trades$50 min
6/30/2026, 4:23:07 PM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
72% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.2 / M18.5 / H22.3